Match Info

Championship - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Den (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	13:30	Viaplay
Finland	14:30	Viaplay
Iceland	11:30	Viaplay
Netherlands	13:30	Viaplay
Norway	13:30	Viaplay
Sweden	13:30	Viaplay, V Sport Extra


	Millwall		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.70	4.60
	1.73	3.62	4.91	Watch
	1.77	3.76	5.02
	1.77	3.77	4.53	Watch
	1.74	3.7	4.9
	1.77	3.69	4.87	Watch
	1.72	3.6	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.9)	3.68 ↑ (3.53)	4.79 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millwall
54.4%

Draw
25.8%

Lincoln City
19.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49%

26.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

26.3%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Millwall's performance.

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Millwall that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Millwall - Lincoln City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Millwall (1.75) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Millwall will win (19 of 19 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Marschall F. (G) 4. Crama T. 6. Taylor C. 5. Cooper J. (C) 3. Sturge Z. 49. Mazou-Sacko D. 14. Metcalfe J. 17. Sykes M. 10. Neghli C. 22. Lisbie K. 13. Dykes L.	1. Wickens G. (G) 4. Coubis A. 25. Elerewe D. 15. Bradley S. (C) 16. Jefferies D. 24. Varfolomeev I. 26. Konak Y. E. 3. Reach A. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 17. Street R. 34. Draper F.
Substitutes
12. Baggott E. 15. Crocombe M. (G) 25. Cundle L. 45. Doughty A. 11. Esse R. 16. Kelly D. 18. Leonard R. 29. Lovelace Z. 2. Osei-Tutu J.	8. Bayliss T. 20. Elder C. 46. Gauci J. (G) 23. Honohan J. 11. Ladefoged M. 27. Ogbene C. 19. Olaofe T. 33. Oyegoke D. 6. Towler R.
Coaches
Neil A.	Shaw T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Coubis A. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Street R. ⚽, Bradley S. (A),
35', Crama T. 🟨,
36', Street R. 🟨,
42', Draper F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Marschall F. ↓, Crocombe M. ↑,
46', Sykes M. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
48', Cooper J. 🟨,
63', 1 - 2, Lisbie K. ⚽,
66', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Oyegoke D. ↑,
69', Coubis A. 🟨,
72', Lisbie K. 🟨,
72', Metcalfe J. ↓, Esse R. ↑,
73', Crama T. ↓, Leonard R. ↑,
80', Reach A. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
80', Jefferies D. ↓, Elder C. ↑,
80', Lisbie K. ↓, Lovelace Z. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Cooper J. ⚽,
84', Elerewe D. 🟥,
86', Sturge Z. 🟨,
90+1', Leonard R. 🟨,
90+1', Elder C. 🟨,
90+2', Neghli C. 🟨,
90+3', Draper F. ↓, Ladefoged M. ↑,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11th and 18th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Lincoln may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Millwall for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Millwall	12	4	3	5	19:20	-1	15
15	Lincoln	12	4	3	5	13:20	-7	15

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Millwall: 2.3%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millwall
English League Championship
13.10.26	Millwall - Swansea City	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Preston North End - Millwall	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Millwall - West Ham United	2:2 ✺
15.09.26	Middlesbrough - Millwall	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Blackburn Rovers - Millwall	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWTTL
- Lincoln City
English League Championship
14.10.26	Lincoln City - West Ham United	0:6 ✺
10.10.26	Sheffield United - Lincoln City	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Lincoln City - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Bristol City - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Preston North End - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLLWW

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