Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Pride Park (Derby) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Smith J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Sport 4P
Bulgaria	17:00	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 5
Czech Republic	16:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Malta	16:00	TSN Malta 4
Slovakia	16:00	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport 4
United Kingdom	15:00	Sky Sports+
Usa	10:00	Paramount+, SportsEngine Play


	Derby County		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.60	3.50	Watch
	2.05	3.50	3.50
	1.98	3.60	3.35	Watch
	2.04	3.63	3.58
	1.97	3.83	3.38
	2.00	3.55	3.55
	1.91	3.62	3.71	Watch
	2.08	3.65	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.97)	3.62 ↓ (3.71)	3.52 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby County
47.3%

Draw
26%

Lincoln City
26.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.8%

24.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Derby County - Lincoln City Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Lincoln will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 23. Ward J. 6. Langas S. 5. Clarke M. 18. Taylor C. 29. Fraulo O. 27. Travis L. (C) 11. Szmodics S. 8. Clark B. 33. Blackett-Taylor C. 9. Morris C.	1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. (C) 22. Hamer T. 25. Elerewe D. 3. Reach A. 18. House B. 24. Varfolomeev I. 14. McGrandles C. 16. Jefferies D. 17. Street R. 34. Draper F.
Substitutes
40. Allen C. 13. Bilbija F. 37. Eames O. 3. Forsyth C. 22. Johnston M. 15. Salvesen L. 28. Sanderson D. 41. Smith C. 31. Vickers J. (G)	4. Coubis A. 20. Elder C. 46. Gauci J. (G) 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 23. Honohan J. 10. Melia M. 19. Olaofe T. 21. Pardington J. (G) 6. Towler R.
Coaches
Eustace J.	Cohen C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, House B. ⚽, Varfolomeev I. (A),
23', 0 - 2, Jefferies D. ⚽, Draper F. (A),
32', Reach A. 🟨,
35', Travis L. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 2, Szmodics S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Clarke M. ↓, Sanderson D. ↑,
48', House B. 🟨,
63', Fraulo O. ↓, Bilbija F. ↑,
63', Blackett-Taylor C. ↓, Johnston M. ↑,
63', Taylor C. ↓, Forsyth C. ↑,
67', Jefferies D. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
79', Draper F. ↓, Olaofe T. ↑,
79', Street R. ↓, Hackett-Fairchild R. ↑,
79', House B. ↓, Melia M. ↑,
80', Szmodics S. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
88', Reach A. ↓, Elder C. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Derby might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Outrights of English League Cup for now

Derby: 0.59%

Last Results with these Odds

Derby County - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 46.82%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Lincoln City - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 28.27%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County
Club Friendly
04.08.26	Rotherham United - Derby County	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Burton Albion - Derby County	1:0 ✺
31.07.26	Mansfield Town - Derby County	1:3 ✺
24.07.26	Freiburg - Derby County	3:1 ✺
17.07.26	Alfreton Town - Derby County	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLWLW
- Lincoln City
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Barnsley - Lincoln City	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Doncaster Rovers - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
28.07.26	Grimsby Town - Lincoln City	5:1 ✺
17.07.26	Lincoln City - Leyton Orient	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Boston United - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
20.01.24	Lincoln City - Derby County	0:0
21.12.23	Derby County - Lincoln City	3:1
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Derby County - Lincoln City	2:0
English League One
14.02.23	Derby County - Lincoln City	1:1
13.09.22	Lincoln City - Derby County	2:0

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