Match Info

Championship - Round 2

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: LNER stadium (Lincoln)

Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2
Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malta	TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5, Fox Sports
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5


	Lincoln City		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.30	3.00	Watch
	2.30	3.30	3.10
	2.32	3.30	2.95	Watch
	2.38	3.42	3.18
	2.37	3.44	2.94	Watch
	2.35	3.40	3.10
	2.39	3.43	3.12	Watch
	2.31	3.30	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.35)	3.36 ↓ (3.41)	3.05 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
40.7%

Draw
28.2%

Portsmouth
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

27.6%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

27.7%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	18.2%	36.4%

Lincoln City - Portsmouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 1 - 50%). Portsmouth (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Portsmouth (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Portsmouth (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. (C) 22. Hamer T. 25. Elerewe D. 3. Reach A. 14. McGrandles C. 24. Varfolomeev I. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 18. House B. 16. Jefferies D. 34. Draper F.	1. Schmid N. (G) 24. Devlin T. 2. Arthur B. 6. Shaughnessy C. 22. Swanson Z. 7. Pack M. (C) 19. Shein R. R. 11. Kamara A. 10. Segecic A. 25. Kavuma McQueen R. 9. Bishop C.
Substitutes
8. Bayliss T. 4. Coubis A. 20. Elder C. 46. Gauci J. (G) 26. Konak Y. E. 10. Melia M. 19. Olaofe T. 17. Street R. 6. Towler R.	38. Adams E. 27. Bailey O. 31. Bielica D. (G) 28. Brooke-Smith L. 55. Dia M. 4. Knight J. 29. Marezi 23. Murphy J. 8. Swift J.
Coaches
Shaw T.	Mousinho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Kavuma McQueen R. ⚽, Kamara A. (A),
16', 0 - 2, Segecic A. ⚽,
32', 1 - 2, Hackett-Fairchild R. (Penalty Awarded),
34', Draper F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Darikwa T. ↓, Coubis A. ↑,
55', Shein R. R. 🟨,
58', Kavuma McQueen R. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
58', Shein R. R. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
66', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
66', Jefferies D. ↓, Street R. ↑,
68', Bayliss T. 🟨,
69', 1 - 3, Adams E. ⚽,
71', Hamer T. 🟨,
75', House B. ↓, Melia M. ↑,
75', Draper F. ↓, Olaofe T. ↑,
77', Murphy J. ↓, Marezi ↑,
86', Kamara A. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
86', Pack M. ↓, Knight J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 0.

Lincoln has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Portsmouth is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Lincoln: Bradley S. (Knock)

There will not play in Portsmouth: Anderson K. (Injury) Bursik J. (Injury) Farrell J. (Groin Injury) Kosznovszky M. (Knee Injury) Ogilvie C. (Knee Injury) Pack M. (Knee Injury) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Lincoln: Jackson A. (Surgery)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.2:2).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Portsmouth: 0.98%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Lincoln	9	3	2	4	7:11	-4	11
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Portsmouth - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 32.28%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League Championship
15.08.26	Middlesbrough - Lincoln City	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Derby County - Lincoln City	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Barnsley - Lincoln City	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Doncaster Rovers - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
28.07.26	Grimsby Town - Lincoln City	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLWL
- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
15.08.26	Portsmouth - Queens Park Rangers	1:3 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	West Ham United - Portsmouth	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Darmstadt - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
29.07.26	Farnborough - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Portsmouth	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
27.04.24	Lincoln City - Portsmouth	0:2
23.09.23	Portsmouth - Lincoln City	2:1
18.02.23	Lincoln City - Portsmouth	0:0
06.08.22	Portsmouth - Lincoln City	0:0
15.04.22	Portsmouth - Lincoln City	3:2
23.11.21	Lincoln City - Portsmouth	0:3
26.01.21	Portsmouth - Lincoln City	0:1

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