Match Info

Date: 16 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: University of Bolton Stadium (Bolton)

Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)


	Bolton Wanderers		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.33	5.75
	1.55	4.1	5.5
	1.54	4.25	5.9
	1.52	4.2	5.4
	1.54	4.42	6.16
	1.52	4	6
	1.57	4.35	5.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.56)	4.24 ↑ (3.88)	5.81 ↑ (5.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolton Wanderers
61.4%

Draw
22.3%

Morecambe
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

23.9%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

23.7%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	7.3%	1.8%

Bolton Wanderers - Morecambe Predictions

Users Predictions: Bolton Wanderers will win (50 of 55 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.31% – 98.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Bolton has the most likely position - 3 (8.89%), has project points - 75, has currently - 5, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (33%), has a chance of promoted (23%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Morecambe has the most likely position - 24 (20.53%), has project points - 43, has currently - 2, has a good chance of relegated (55%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 18, importance 31, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bolton won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Morecambe have a series of home games.

In this match Bolton is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Bolton won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
13.08.22	Port Vale - Bolton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.22	Bolton Wanderers - Salford City	5:1 ✺
English League One
06.08.22	Bolton Wanderers - Wycombe Wanderers	3:0 ✺
30.07.22	Ipswich Town - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.22	Southport - Bolton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWTL
- Morecambe
English League One
13.08.22	Morecambe - Fleetwood Town	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.22	Morecambe - Stoke City	1:0 penalties ✺
English League One
06.08.22	Peterborough United - Morecambe	3:0 ✺
30.07.22	Morecambe - Shrewsbury Town	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Morecambe - Carlisle United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
08.03.22	Bolton Wanderers - Morecambe	1:1
05.02.22	Morecambe - Bolton Wanderers	1:1
English League Two
24.04.21	Morecambe - Bolton Wanderers	0:1
09.02.21	Bolton Wanderers - Morecambe	1:1
Club Friendly
17.07.15	Morecambe - Bolton Wanderers	2:1
01.08.12	Morecambe - Bolton Wanderers	N/A

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