The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 17.6%
Draw 22.9%
Bolton Wanderers 59.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.7%
25.3%
53%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.4%
24.9%
53.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolton Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
40%
40%
Port Vale - Bolton Wanderers Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Bolton will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
46. Gauci J. (G) 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 5. Hall C. 27. Campbell E. 15. Gordon L. 14. Ojo F. 12. Walters R. 33. Hall G. 8. Garrity B. (C) 3. Headley J. 21. Sherif M.
1. Bonham J. (G) 14. Osei-Tutu J. 18. Toal E. (C) 3. Forino-Joseph C. 6. Johnston G. 4. Simons X. 21. Erhahon E. 9. Kenny J. 22. Dempsey K. 15. Apter R. 10. Dalby S.
Substitutes
13. Amos B. (G) 11. Archer E. 45. Gray A. 50. Hernandez O. 35. Magloire T. 26. Shipley J. 19. Waine B.
48. Burstow M. 29. Christie C. 25. Conway M. 11. Gale T. 23. Harrington D. (G) 45. McAtee J. 8. Sheehan J.
Coaches
Brady J.
Schumacher S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Osei-Tutu J. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Hall G. ⚽, Headley J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Apter R. ↓, Conway M. ↑,
60', Erhahon E. 🟨,
61', Erhahon E. ↓, Sheehan J. ↑,
61', Simons X. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
69', Garrity B. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
74', Osei-Tutu J. ↓, Burstow M. ↑,
74', Toal E. ↓, Christie C. ↑,
78', Sherif M. ↓, Shipley J. ↑,
84', Hall G. ↓, Archer E. ↑,
85', Headley J. ↓, Magloire T. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 1.
Port Vale has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Bolton is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Bolton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Port Vale has had a series of home games.
In this match, Bolton is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G.
(Injury)
Croasdale R.
(Inactive)
Heneghan B.
(Injury)
Stockley J.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Bolton: Blackett-Taylor C.
(Injury)
Cozier-Duberry A.
(Inactive)
Forss M.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Humphreys C.
(Inactive)
Kyle John
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Bolton: McAtee J.
(Inactive)
Taylor R.
(Inactive)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 13:30. (average 0.9:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.3:1.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Bolton Wanderers - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 53.01%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
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Gauci J. (G) 
Lawrence-Gabriel J. 
Gordon L. 
Ojo F. 
Sherif M. 
Bonham J. (G) 
Toal E. (C) 
Johnston G. 
Gray A. 
Hernandez O. 
Waine B. 
Gale T. 
Sheehan J. 
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