Match Info

National League - Round 43

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	11:00	DAZN
Australia	00:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	17:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	09:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	09:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	22:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	19:30	DAZN
Indonesia	21:00	DAZN
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	20:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	22:00	DAZN
Mexico	08:00	DAZN
New Zealand	02:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	15:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	10:00	DAZN
Philippines	22:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	17:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	16:00	DAZN
South Korea	23:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:00	DAZN
Thailand	21:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	18:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	19:00	DAZN
Venezuela	10:00	DAZN
Vietnam	21:00	DAZN


	Morecambe		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.9	1.75
	3.65	3.95	1.8
	3.86	4.04	1.83
	3.65	4.14	1.81	Watch
	3.6	3.75	1.83
	3.76	3.76	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.62)	3.92 ↓ (4.1)	1.8 (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morecambe
24.9%

Draw
23.6%

Carlisle United
51.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.7%

22.7%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

22.1%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Morecambe - Carlisle United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Carlisle United will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Boney M. (G) 16. Hogan L. 5. Dean H. 12. Jameson K. 2. Payne L. 17. Lewis P. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 8. Azeez M. 7. Edwards G. 36. Nolan J. 42. Popov C.	1. Breeze G. (G) 18. Ellis J. 5. Feeney M. (C) 4. Thomas T. 12. Galvin R. 37. Macadam H. 20. Gilliead A. 7. Ajiboye D. 16. Wearne S. 10. Linney R. 9. Kelly G.
Substitutes
33. Akindileni T. 3. Conte R. 28. Fogarty T. 23. Ogwuru D. 25. Scales A. (G) 32. Thomas G. 18. Tollitt B.	2. Davies A. 3. Harper C. 26. Mugabi B. 30. Parker H. 8. Whelan C. 23. Wyke Ch. 25. Yeboah E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Gilliead A. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Edwards G. ⚽, Lewis P. (A),
45+2', Galvin R. 🟨,
45+2', Lewis P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, Linney R. ⚽, Ajiboye D. (A),
64', Songo'o Y. ↓, Thomas G. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Ajiboye D. ⚽, Breeze G. (A),
71', Kelly G. ↓, Wyke Ch. ↑,
75', Lewis P. ↓, Ogwuru D. ↑,
75', Popov C. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Macadam H. (Own goal),
85', Wyke Ch. 🟨,
85', Azeez M. 🟨,
90', Edwards G. ↓, Conte R. ↑,
90', Linney R. ↓, Yeboah E. ↑,
90', Wearne S. ↓, Whelan C. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 1.

Morecambe is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Carlisle is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Carlisle is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Morecambe won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 0.8:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Carlisle	15	6	5	4	28:21	7	23

Outrights of English National League for now

Carlisle: 2.48%

Last Results with these Odds

Morecambe - the odds 3.62 are the expected chance of winning is 25.68%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English National League
03.04.26	Rochdale - Morecambe	2:4 ✺
28.03.26	Morecambe - Aldershot Town	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Morecambe - Hartlepool United	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Yeovil Town - Morecambe	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Morecambe - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLLLT
- Carlisle United
English National League
03.04.26	Carlisle United - Gateshead	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Braintree Town - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Halifax Town - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Carlisle United - Boston United	6:2 ✺
14.03.26	Tamworth - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
30.12.25	Carlisle United - Morecambe	1:0
English League Two
12.04.25	Morecambe - Carlisle United	0:2
26.12.24	Carlisle United - Morecambe	0:1
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Morecambe - Carlisle United	1:2
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Morecambe - Carlisle United	0:0
English EFL Trophy
09.11.21	Morecambe - Carlisle United	0:2
English League Two
06.03.21	Morecambe - Carlisle United	3:1

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