Match Info

Date: 20 March 2021, Saturday


	Bolton Wanderers		Walsall

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.6	5.75
	1.75	3.3	5
	1.72	3.5	5.3
	1.69	3.35	5.2
	1.71	3.57	5.8
	1.7	3.25	5.5
	1.73	3.54	6.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.78)	3.44 ↑ (3.39)	5.51 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolton Wanderers
55.4%

Draw
27.5%

Walsall
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

27.8%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

22.4%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Bolton Wanderers - Walsall Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to League Two (Play Offs) and 19).

Bolton has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (43%), has a chance of promoted (37%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Walsall has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Bolton in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Walsall is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Bolton is a favorite.

Walsall is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bolton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolton Wanderers
English League Two
13.03.21	Port Vale - Bolton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
09.03.21	Bolton Wanderers - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
06.03.21	Bradford City - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
02.03.21	Oldham Athletic - Bolton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
27.02.21	Bolton Wanderers - Barrow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTWW
- Walsall FC
English League Two
16.03.21	Crawley Town - Walsall	1:1 ✺
12.03.21	Walsall - Barrow	0:1 ✺
06.03.21	Cambridge United - Walsall	1:0 ✺
02.03.21	Exeter City - Walsall	0:0 ✺
27.02.21	Walsall - Bradford City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
12.12.20	Walsall - Bolton Wanderers	2:1
English FA Cup
05.01.19	Bolton Wanderers - Walsall	5:2
English League One
11.02.17	Bolton Wanderers - Walsall	4:1
17.09.16	Walsall - Bolton Wanderers	1:0

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