Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 2

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Toughsheet Community Stadium (Bolton) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bulgaria	17:00	Nova Sport
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	16:00	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay
Finland	17:00	Elisa Viihde, Viaplay, V Sport+
Iceland	14:00	Viaplay
Ireland	15:00	NOW
Israel	17:00	Sport 2
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:00	beIN Connect
Norway	16:00	Viaplay
Poland	16:00	Viaplay
Portugal	15:00	Sport TV7
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	15:00	beIN Sports MENA English 2, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports+, Sky Ultra
Usa	10:00	CBS, Paramount+
International	14:00	Disney+


	Bolton Wanderers		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	4	Watch
	1.85	3.7	3.8
	1.87	3.75	3.75	Watch
	1.87	3.83	4.16
	1.83	3.77	3.95	Watch
	1.91	3.7	4
	1.85	3.92	3.9	Watch
	1.87	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.07)	3.77 ↓ (3.78)	3.91 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolton Wanderers
50.9%

Draw
25%

Wrexham
24.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.5%

24.9%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

25.7%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bolton Wanderers's performance.

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wrexham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	17.6%	0%

Bolton Wanderers - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: Bolton Wanderers will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baxter N. (G) 18. Toal E. 5. Santos R. (C) 6. Johnston G. 12. Dacres-Cogley J. 8. Sheehan J. 4. Thomason G. 23. Schon S. 45. McAtee J. 10. Charles D. 19. Collins A.	1. Okonkwo A. (G) 7. McClean J. (C) 4. Cleworth M. 5. O'Connell E. 6. O'Connor T. 23. Revan S. 8. Cannon A. 15. Dobson G. 38. Lee E. 11. Marriott J. 9. Palmer O.
Substitutes
9. Adeboyejo V. 37. Arfield S. 22. Dempsey K. 21. Forino-Joseph C. 28. Matete J. 16. Morley A. 14. Osei-Tutu J.	29. Barnett R. 13. Burton C. (G) 18. Dalby S. 12. Evans G. 26. Fletcher S. 20. Rathbone O. 24. Scarr D.
Coaches
Evatt I.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Santos R. 🟨,
65', Schon S. 🟨,
70', O'Connor T. 🟨,
72', Palmer O. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
72', Collins A. ↓, Dempsey K. ↑,
72', Charles D. ↓, Adeboyejo V. ↑,
76', Dacres-Cogley J. ↓, Osei-Tutu J. ↑,
76', McAtee J. ↓, Arfield S. ↑,
79', Marriott J. ↓, Rathbone O. ↑,
82', Sheehan J. ↓, Matete J. ↑,
90+1', Lee E. ↓, Evans G. ↑,

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Bolton is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolton Wanderers
English League Cup
13.08.24	Bolton Wanderers - Mansfield Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
10.08.24	Leyton Orient - Bolton Wanderers	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Port Vale - Bolton Wanderers	0:3 ✺
30.07.24	Bolton Wanderers - Stoke City	0:1 ✺
26.07.24	Bolton Wanderers - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWLT
- Wrexham AFC
English League Cup
13.08.24	Sheffield United - Wrexham	4:2 ✺
English League One
10.08.24	Wrexham - Wycombe Wanderers	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Wrexham - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Vancouver Whitecaps - Wrexham	1:4 ✺
24.07.24	Chelsea - Wrexham	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 LWWWT

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