Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 22

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte (Potosí) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Aleman J. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bolivia	15:00	Entel Gol 56


	Nacional Potosí		Bolívar

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.90	1.71	Watch
	3.40	3.90	1.75
	3.45	3.75	1.74	Watch
	3.64	4.00	1.81
	4.16	4.23	1.7	Watch
	3.60	3.75	1.78
	3.84	3.99	1.79	Watch
	3.65	3.95	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↓ (4.18)	3.93 ↓ (4.1)	1.75 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Potosí
24.8%

Draw
23.2%

Bolívar
52%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.9%

22.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

21.4%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bolívar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nacional Potosí - Bolívar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Galindo P. (G) 34. Medina K. 5. Alvarez S. 33. Demiquel L. 16. Torrico A. 10. Nunez M. 18. Azogue P. (C) 21. Baldomar O. 28. Pena S. 19. Alvarez W. 11. Tomianovic M.	1. Lampe C. (G) 2. Sagredo J. 5. Echeverria S. 3. Arreaga X. 4. Sagredo J. (C) 77. Romero D. 22. Ayhuana A. 80. Melgar C. A. 7. Velasquez J. 14. Robson Matheus 27. Asprilla D.
Substitutes
27. Abastoflor C. 1. Arauz E. (G) 15. Arce Pari J. 2. Avila R. 20. Cano E. 22. Hoyos D. 14. Juan Batista 30. Martinez Y. 25. Orellana J. 26. Quiroz K. 7. Solis M. 9. Tobar T.	10. Arce B. 99. Batallini D. 9. Cauteruccio M. 18. Chavez Cruz L. L. 35. Freita E. 19. Garcia J. 33. Mena F. 13. Mendez D. (G) 11. Miranda B. 8. Paz L. 26. Saavedra E. 6. Vaca Moreno E.
Coaches
Gutierrez D.	Restrepo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Sagredo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Alvarez W. ↓, Tobar T. ↑,
46', Sagredo J. ↓, Paz L. ↑,
55', Baldomar O. 🟨,
63', 0 - 1, Romero D. ⚽, Melgar C. A. (A),
67', Pena S. ↓, Abastoflor C. ↑,
67', Sagredo J. ↓, Freita E. ↑,
71', Velasquez J. 🟨,
76', Nunez M. ↓, Solis M. ↑,
76', Azogue P. ↓, Hoyos D. ↑,
77', Melgar C. A. ↓, Saavedra E. ↑,
77', Velasquez J. ↓, Batallini D. ↑,
84', Baldomar O. ↓, Orellana J. ↑,
90', Robson Matheus ↓, Vaca Moreno E. ↑,
90+5', Lampe C. 🟨,
90+6', Tobar T. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', Echeverria S. 🟨,
90+6', Asprilla D. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 9th and 2nd in the Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 1.

In recent outings, Nacional Potosí has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bolívar is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Nacional Potosí could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Bolívar for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Nacional Potosí has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:44 (averaging 1.6:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nacional Potosí against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:13 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bolivar	23	17	3	3	58:23	35	54
7	Nacional Potosi	23	9	4	10	35:31	4	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional
11.10.26	Aurora - Nacional Potosí	2:2 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
03.10.26	Nacional Potosí - Real Oruro	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Real Tomayapo - Nacional Potosí	1:1 ✺
25.09.26	Nacional Potosí - Always Ready	9:0 ✺
22.09.26	Nacional Potosí - Real Potosí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWTWL
- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
11.10.26	Bolívar - Blooming	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
04.10.26	Independiente Petroleros - Bolívar	0:3 ✺
01.10.26	Bolívar - GVCD San José	3:2 ✺
27.09.26	Bolívar - Blooming	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	The Strongest - Bolívar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
13.05.26	Bolívar - Nacional Potosí	1:1
Bolivian Copa Pacena
22.12.25	Bolívar - Nacional Potosí	1:4
20.12.25	Nacional Potosí - Bolívar	0:2
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.12.25	Bolívar - Nacional Potosí	5:2
Bolivian Copa Pacena
10.07.25	Bolívar - Nacional Potosí	2:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
29.06.25	Nacional Potosí - Bolívar	1:1
Bolivian Copa Pacena
26.06.25	Nacional Potosí - Bolívar	3:0

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