Match Info

SCOTLAND: SCOTTISH CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday


	Bonnyrigg Rose		Falkirk

	1	X	2
	12	5.75	1.25
	10	5.5	1.23
	12	6	1.22
	8.43	5.35	1.29
	10.15	5.91	1.24
	8	4.8	1.3
	11	5.95	1.24
	10	5.6	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.2 ↑ (7.58)	5.61 ↑ (4.52)	1.25 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bonnyrigg Rose
9.1%

Draw
16.6%

Falkirk
74.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12%

20.1%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.9%

20%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bonnyrigg Rose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Falkirk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonnyrigg Rose than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Falkirk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bonnyrigg Rose - Falkirk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin P. (G) 2. Mailer A. 3. Martyniuk N. 4. Young K. 8. Stewart J. 9. McGachie K. 10. Currie L. 11. Gray R. 16. Peggie R. 17. Doan C. 21. Barrett B.	1. Long S. (G) 2. Lang T. 3. McCann L. 5. Henderson L. 6. Donaldson C. 7. Morrison C. 8. Spencer B. 10. Nesbitt A. 14. Yeats F. 17. MacIver R. 29. Miller C.
Substitutes
25. Andrews M. (G) 22. Connolly C. 6. Jarvis J. 12. McGale R. 20. Osadolor S. 7. Wardell O. 18. Watson D.	11. Agyeman A. 9. Allan J. 20. Bisland L. 31. Hogarth N. (G) 26. Mackie S. 4. McGinn S. 18. Oliver G. 21. Oluwasegun L. 23. Ross E.

Preview

Recent matches Bonnyrigg is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Falkirk in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bonnyrigg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Falkirk is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bonnyrigg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Bonnyrigg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bonnyrigg Rose
Scottish League Two
13.01.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Dumbarton	1:1 ✺
06.01.24	Clyde - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:2 ✺
22.12.23	East Fife - Bonnyrigg Rose	0:3 ✺
16.12.23	Stranraer - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:1 ✺
09.12.23	Bonnyrigg Rose - Peterhead	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLWLT
- Falkirk FC
Scottish League One
13.01.24	Edinburgh City - Falkirk	2:2 ✺
09.01.24	Falkirk - Cove Rangers	4:0 ✺
06.01.24	Falkirk - Queen of the South	1:0 ✺
30.12.23	Falkirk - Stirling Albion	5:0 ✺
23.12.23	Annan Athletic - Falkirk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
20.07.22	Bonnyrigg Rose - Falkirk	1:2 penalties

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