Match Info

SCOTLAND: League One - Round 35

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Annan Athletic		Falkirk

	1	X	2
	5	5	1.4
	5.25	4.5	1.43
	4.75	4.5	1.55	Watch
	5	5.26	1.5
	4.76	5.26	1.51
	5.5	4.5	1.44
	5.61	4.65	1.46	Watch
	5.2	4.4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.13 ↑ (4.37)	4.76 ↑ (4.33)	1.47 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Annan Athletic
18%

Draw
19.4%

Falkirk
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

20.8%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

20.4%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Annan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annan Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Annan Athletic - Falkirk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fleming G. (G) 5. Douglas M. 11. Galloway J. 33. Gibson W. 10. Goss T. 4. Hunter L. 8. Luissint B. 3. MacIntyre O. 7. Nugent K. 9. Smith A. 17. Walker J.	31. Hogarth N. (G) 20. Bisland L. 5. Henderson L. 17. MacIver R. 26. Mackie S. 3. McCann L. 29. Miller C. 7. Morrison C. 10. Nesbitt A. 8. Spencer B. 15. Tait D.
Substitutes
21. Dixon J. 12. Heraghty J. (G) 14. Maxwell C. 20. McMenamin C. 2. Muir R. 16. Ndiweni M. 18. Quitongo R. 15. Watson P.	11. Agyeman A. 1. Long S. (G) 4. McGinn S. 18. Oliver G. 23. Ross E. 14. Yeats F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Henderson L. ⚽, Miller C. (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, Gibson W. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 1 - 2, Henderson L. ⚽,
50', Henderson L. ↓, Yeats F. ↑,
56', Hunter L. 🟨,
61', 1 - 3, Nesbitt A. ⚽, MacIver R. (A),
69', Morrison C. ↓, Agyeman A. ↑,
69', Nesbitt A. ↓, Oliver G. ↑,
69', Miller C. ↓, Ross E. ↑,
72', Nugent K. ↓, Maxwell C. ↑,
75', Bisland L. 🟨,
76', 2 - 3, Gibson W. (Pen),
82', Galloway J. 🟨,
85', Tait D. 🟨,
87', Walker J. ↓, Ndiweni M. ↑,
90', 3 - 3, Smith A. ⚽,

Preview

Falkirk is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship

Annan is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Falkirk in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Falkirk is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Annan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Annan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annan Athletic
Scottish League One
20.04.24	Edinburgh City - Annan Athletic	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Annan Athletic - Cove Rangers	4:2 ✺
06.04.24	Annan Athletic - Hamilton Academical	1:3 ✺
30.03.24	Alloa Athletic - Annan Athletic	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Annan Athletic - Kelty Hearts	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLTW
- Falkirk FC
Scottish League One
20.04.24	Falkirk - Kelty Hearts	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	Hamilton Academical - Falkirk	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Falkirk - Cove Rangers	5:1 ✺
30.03.24	Montrose - Falkirk	1:7 ✺
23.03.24	Falkirk - Edinburgh City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
02.03.24	Falkirk - Annan Athletic	1:1
23.12.23	Annan Athletic - Falkirk	0:3
05.08.23	Falkirk - Annan Athletic	3:0

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