Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 15

Date: 6 December 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Francis Le Basser (Laval)

Referee: Legat P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free


	Laval		Caen

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.75	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.95
	2.25	3.5	2.95	Watch
	2.4	3.38	3.17
	2.28	3.37	3.03	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.8
	2.3	3.48	3.03	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.97)	3.43 ↓ (3.53)	2.95 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laval
41%

Draw
27.3%

Caen
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

26.4%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

26.6%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Laval's form might have worsened.

Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Laval, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	29.4%	35.3%

Laval - Caen Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Laval will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Caen will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Laval: 12.6% – 58%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samassa M. (G) 7. Vargas T. 21. Kouassi C. 23. Tavares Y. 3. Bianda W. 17. Kokolo W. 19. Sellouki M. 4. Roye J. (C) 6. Sanna S. 9. Camara M. 18. Tchokounte M.	16. Clementia Y. (G) 3. Bolumbu D. 91. Ntim E. 29. Thomas R. (C) 28. Lecoeuche Q. 77. Gaucho Debohi D. 17. Kyeremeh G. 10. Brahimi B. 14. Rajot L. 8. Le Bihan M. 19. Mendy A.
Substitutes
29. Badey A. 20. Cherni A. 22. Doucoure S. 39. Goncalves A. 1. Hautbois M. (G) 8. Thomas T. 10. Zohi K.	23. Autret M. 7. Gomis T. 20. Lebreton N. 1. Mandrea A. (G) 27. Meddah D. 37. Milliner L. 39. Tome G.
Coaches
Frapolli O.	Seube N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Sanna S. ⚽, Camara M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Lecoeuche Q. 🟨,
63', Roye J. 🟨,
64', Kyeremeh G. ↓, Milliner L. ↑,
64', Rajot L. ↓, Lebreton N. ↑,
71', Camara M. 🟨,
73', Sellouki M. ↓, Cherni A. ↑,
73', Camara M. ↓, Zohi K. ↑,
79', Roye J. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
80', Le Bihan M. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
83', Bolumbu D. ↓, Autret M. ↑,
90', Tchokounte M. ↓, Doucoure S. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Laval won 2.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Caen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Laval: Adeoti J. (Injury) Adilehou M. (Injury) Nazih A. (Injury) Ouaneh P. (Injury) Seidou E. (Injury) Tell J. (Injury)

There will not play in Caen: Coulibaly K. (Injury) Henry V. (Injury) M'Vila Y. (Injury) Ntim E. (Injury) Sy L. (Knee Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Laval won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:13 (average 1.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Laval won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Laval
Coupe De France
30.11.24	Laval - Concarneau	3:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
22.11.24	Martigues - Laval	0:3 ✺
Coupe De France
16.11.24	Vitré - Laval	0:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
08.11.24	Laval - Bastia	2:2 ✺
01.11.24	Troyes - Laval	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWTT
- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
22.11.24	Caen - Rodez	3:3 ✺
Coupe De France
16.11.24	Chartres - Caen	0:4 ✺
French Ligue 2
09.11.24	Metz - Caen	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Caen - Bastia	2:0 ✺
29.10.24	Martigues - Caen	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
03.05.24	Caen - Laval	1:0
02.09.23	Laval - Caen	2:1
Club Friendly
26.07.23	Laval - Caen	1:3
French Ligue 2
28.01.23	Caen - Laval	0:0
15.10.22	Laval - Caen	4:0
17.01.14	Caen - Laval	2:1
09.08.13	Laval - Caen	1:2

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