The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bordeaux 62.4%
Draw 23.6%
Nîmes 13.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58%
25.2%
16.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.9%
24.4%
16.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
93.7%
0%
6.2%
Bordeaux - Nîmes Predictions
Users Predictions:
Bordeaux will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%). Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
Bordeaux has the most likely position - 2 (29.43%), project points - 66, currently - 47, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a chance of promoted (38%), a small chance of win league (6%).
Nîmes has the most likely position - 19 (23.31%), project points - 38, currently - 26, a good chance of relegated (70%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality33, importance63, match rating48. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 2.
Recent matches Bordeaux is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Nîmes is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Bordeaux is certain favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Bordeaux won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.