Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 23

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade René Gaillard (Niort)

Referee: Petit A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Niort		Bordeaux

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.3	1.75	Watch
	4.5	3.4	1.78
	4.65	3.5	1.75
	4.97	3.66	1.78
	4.8	3.3	1.75
	4.55	3.62	1.78	Watch
	4.6	3.45	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↑ (4.17)	3.46 ↑ (3.29)	1.77 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niort
20.1%

Draw
27%

Bordeaux
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

28.1%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

27.5%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	6.2%	75%

Niort - Bordeaux Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Niort will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Bordeaux will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bordeaux: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 3).

Niort has the most likely position - 20 (40.23%), has project points - 35, has currently - 20, has a good chance of relegated (84%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Bordeaux has the most likely position - 2 (28.96%), has project points - 67, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (46%), has a small chance of win league (14%).

This event has small quality 30, importance 51, match rating 40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Niort is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bordeaux is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Bordeaux is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Niort won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Niort won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 2
03.02.23	Dijon - Niort	0:1 ✺
31.01.23	Niort - Amiens	1:3 ✺
28.01.23	Nîmes - Niort	3:2 ✺
Coupe De France
22.01.23	Niort - Auxerre	0:4 ✺
French Ligue 2
16.01.23	Niort - Saint-Étienne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLLLL
- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 2
03.02.23	Pau - Bordeaux	0:2 ✺
31.01.23	Bordeaux - Le Havre	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Dijon - Bordeaux	0:3 ✺
13.01.23	Bordeaux - Amiens	1:1 ✺
10.01.23	Caen - Bordeaux	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
13.08.22	Bordeaux - Niort	1:0
Club Friendly
16.07.21	Bordeaux - Niort	2:1 penalties
08.07.17	Bordeaux - Niort	2:1
27.03.15	Niort - Bordeaux	1:2

Niort - Bordeaux: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide