Match Info

FRANCE: Coupe de France - 1/32-finals

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Matmut Atlantique (Bordeaux)

Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bordeaux		Rennes

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.36	Watch
	7.75	4.5	1.35
	8.9	4.65	1.38	Watch
	7.3	4.55	1.41
	7.44	4.67	1.4	Watch
	8	4.2	1.4
	8.25	4.45	1.39	Watch
	8.9	4.65	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.88 ↑ (6.5)	4.52 ↑ (4)	1.38 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux
11.9%

Draw
20.7%

Rennes
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.1%

21.3%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

21%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bordeaux - Rennes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diabate L. (G) 2. Bai N. 5. Grillot J. 4. Yambere C. (C) 3. Trichard D. 8. Depussay E. 6. Louveau A. 7. Mutyaba T. 10. Merdji Y. 11. Bahassa S. 9. Carroll A.	1. Gallon G. (G) 8. Hateboer H. 5. Ostigard L. 4. Faye M. 2. Assignon L. 10. James J. 6. Matusiwa A. 3. Truffert A. (C) 11. Blas L. 7. Gronbaek A. 9. Kalimuendo A.
Substitutes
15. Assogba Y. 18. Ben Khemis I. 12. Diaby N. 19. Diallo A. 14. Diaw E. 13. Fofana N. 16. Mandanda O. (G) 20. Noc M. 17. Thomas T.	13. Ahamada N. 20. Gomez C. A. 17. Jota 15. Kamara G. 16. Mandanda S. (G) 19. Meister H. 18. Nagida M. 12. Santamaria B. 14. Wooh C.
Coaches
Irles B.	Sampaoli J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Bahassa S. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Truffert A. ⚽, Assignon L. (A),
34', Hateboer H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Mutyaba T. ↓, Diallo A. ↑,
46', Yambere C. ↓, Diaw E. ↑,
54', James J. 🟨,
59', 1 - 2, James J. ⚽, Matusiwa A. (A),
60', Gronbaek A. ↓, Jota ↑,
60', Bahassa S. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
65', Grillot J. 🟨,
68', Bai N. ↓, Assogba Y. ↑,
70', Assogba Y. 🟨,
75', 1 - 3, Assignon L. ⚽,
77', Depussay E. ↓, Noc M. ↑,
80', 1 - 4, Kalimuendo A. ⚽,
81', Blas L. ↓, Ahamada N. ↑,
81', Truffert A. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
82', Assignon L. ↓, Gomez C. A. ↑,
87', James J. ↓, Santamaria B. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 2.

Bordeaux is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Rennes is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rennes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rennes is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 5 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21:26 (average 1.1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Bordeaux won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:10 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girondins de Bordeaux
French National 1 - Group B
14.12.24	La Roche VF - Bordeaux	0:1 ✺
07.12.24	Bordeaux - Stade Briochin	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
01.12.24	Bordeaux - Les Herbiers	2:0 ✺
French National 1 - Group B
23.11.24	Saint-Malo - Bordeaux	1:1 ✺
13.11.24	Le Poiré-sur-Vie - Bordeaux	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWTW
- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
15.12.24	Rennes - Angers	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Nantes - Rennes	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Rennes - Saint-Étienne	5:0 ✺
24.11.24	Lille - Rennes	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Rennes - Toulouse	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
07.01.23	Bordeaux - Rennes	1:2
French Ligue 1
16.01.22	Rennes - Bordeaux	6:0
26.09.21	Bordeaux - Rennes	1:1
02.05.21	Bordeaux - Rennes	1:0
20.11.20	Rennes - Bordeaux	0:1
21.12.19	Rennes - Bordeaux	1:0
17.03.19	Bordeaux - Rennes	1:1

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