Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 13

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Roazhon Park (Rennes)

Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rennes		Saint-Étienne

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.57	4	5.75
	1.55	4.15	5.85	Watch
	1.58	4.15	6.19
	1.63	3.99	5.82	Watch
	1.55	3.9	6
	1.59	4.45	5.64	Watch
	1.55	4.15	5.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.4)	4.14 ↓ (4.9)	5.83 ↓ (7.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rennes
60.6%

Draw
23%

Saint-Étienne
16.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.9%

19.5%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

18.7%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rennes's form might have worsened.

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rennes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55%	20%	25%

Rennes - Saint Étienne Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mandanda S. (C) 33. Hateboer H. 55. Ostigard L. 15. Faye M. 22. Assignon L. 17. James J. 6. Matusiwa A. 18. Nagida M. 11. Blas L. 10. Gouiri A. 9. Kalimuendo A.	30. Larsonneur G. (C) 8. Appiah D. 21. Batubinsika D. 4. Ekwah P. 5. Abdelhamid Y. 19. Petrot L. 18. Cafaro M. 6. Bouchouari B. 14. Mouton L. 22. Davitashvili Z. 9. Sissoko I.
Substitutes
23. Gallon G. (G) 20. Gomez C. A. 7. Gronbaek A. 27. Jota 28. Kamara G. 19. Meister H. 8. Santamaria B. 3. Truffert A. 4. Wooh C.	39. Aiki A. 37. Amougou M. 17. Cornud P. 26. Fomba L. 1. Maubleu B. (G) 29. Moueffek A. 32. Stassin L. 10. Tardieu F. 25. Wadji I.
Coaches
Sampaoli J.	Dall'Oglio O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
37', Cafaro M. 🟥,
39', 1 - 0, Kalimuendo A. (Pen),
45+6', 2 - 0, Blas L. ⚽, Kalimuendo A. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Mouton L. ↓, Wadji I. ↑,
53', 3 - 0, Gouiri A. ⚽, Blas L. (A),
61', 4 - 0, Kalimuendo A. ⚽, Blas L. (A),
62', Gouiri A. ↓, Gronbaek A. ↑,
62', Nagida M. ↓, Truffert A. ↑,
66', Sissoko I. ↓, Stassin L. ↑,
66', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Amougou M. ↑,
67', Ekwah P. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
67', 5 - 0, Kalimuendo A. (Pen),
70', Matusiwa A. ↓, Kamara G. ↑,
70', Assignon L. ↓, Gomez C. A. ↑,
75', Blas L. ↓, Jota ↑,
82', Petrot L. ↓, Cornud P. ↑,
82', Larsonneur G. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rennes won 4.

Rennes is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Saint-Étienne is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Rennes is a favorite.

There will not play in Rennes: Alemdar D. (Knee Injury) Seidu A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Briancon A. (Knee Injury) Macon Y. (Knee Injury) Nade M. (Knee Injury) Old B. (Knee Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Rennes won 8 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 30:13 (average 1.5:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Rennes won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:6 (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
24.11.24	Lille - Rennes	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Rennes - Toulouse	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Auxerre - Rennes	4:0 ✺
25.10.24	Rennes - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Brest - Rennes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWT
- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 1
23.11.24	Saint-Étienne - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Lyon - Saint-Étienne	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Saint-Étienne - Strasbourg	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Angers - Saint-Étienne	4:2 ✺
19.10.24	Saint-Étienne - Lens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
30.04.22	Rennes - Saint-Étienne	2:0
05.12.21	Saint-Étienne - Rennes	0:5
14.02.21	Rennes - Saint-Étienne	0:2
26.09.20	Saint-Étienne - Rennes	0:3
Club Friendly
12.08.20	Rennes - Saint-Étienne	3:0
Coupe De France
05.03.20	Saint-Étienne - Rennes	2:1
French Ligue 1
01.12.19	Rennes - Saint-Étienne	2:1

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