Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 17

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Argentina	17:05	Disney+
Armenia	00:05	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia
Austria	21:05	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:05	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	22:05	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:05	beIN Connect
Chile	17:05	Disney+
China	04:05	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:05	Disney+
Croatia	21:05	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:05	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	21:05	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	21:05	Viaplay
Europe	—	TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	22:05	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	21:05	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	00:05	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	21:05	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	04:05	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
Italy	21:05	Ligue 1+
Japan	05:05	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	21:05	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 4
Malta	21:05	TVM Sport+
Mexico	14:05	FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	21:05	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	21:05	Viaplay
Peru	15:05	Disney+
Poland	21:05	Eleven Sports 3, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	20:05	Sport TV3
Russia	23:05	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:05	Arena Premium 4, Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	21:05	Voyo
Slovenia	21:05	Arena Sport 4
South America	—	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South Korea	05:05	Coupang Play
Sweden	21:05	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	21:05	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	23:05	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
United Kingdom	20:05	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	17:05	Disney+
Usa	15:05	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	16:05	Disney+
Vietnam	03:05	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
International	20:05	Onefootball


	Lille		Rennes

	1	X	2
	1.73	4	4.75	Watch
	1.72	3.9	4.65
	1.88	3.95	4.24
	1.69	4.03	4.72	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.4
	1.74	4.03	4.79	Watch
	1.77	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.85)	3.89 ↑ (3.68)	4.58 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lille
54.6%

Draw
24.5%

Rennes
20.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51%

25.7%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

25%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.8%	15.4%	5.8%

Lille - Rennes Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Rennes (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Lille (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lille will win (41 of 52 users predict this - 78.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.75% – 89.95%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lille will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Rennes (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ozer B. (G) 12. Meunier T. 3. Ngoy N. 4. Alexsandro 24. Verdonk C. 21. Andre B. (C) 6. Bentaleb N. 14. Broholm M. 10. Haraldsson H. 7. Fernandez-Pardo M. 9. Giroud O.	30. Samba B. (G) 36. Seidu A. 97. Jacquet J. 3. Brassier L. 95. Frankowski P. 45. Camara M. 21. Rongier V. (C) 26. Merlin Q. 11. Tamari M. 39. Meite M. 7. Embolo B.
Substitutes
16. Bodart A. (G) 32. Bouaddi A. 42. Boussadia S. 27. Correia F. 35. Diaoune S. 38. Goffi A. 11. Sahraoui O. 22. Santos T. 41. Yondjo A.	10. Blas L. 6. Cisse D. 4. Kamara G. 75. Legendre E. 9. Lepaul E. 74. Limon P. 65. Mukiele N. 24. Rouault A. 50. Silistrie M. (G)
Coaches
Genesio B.	Beye H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Alexsandro 🟥,
14', Andre B. 🟨,
30', Jacquet J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Frankowski P. ⚽, Brassier L. (A),
56', 0 - 2, Merlin Q. ⚽, Embolo B. (A),
62', Meite M. ↓, Lepaul E. ↑,
62', Merlin Q. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
70', Broholm M. ↓, Correia F. ↑,
70', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Bouaddi A. ↑,
71', Giroud O. ↓, Diaoune S. ↑,
74', Verdonk C. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
84', Haraldsson H. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
90+2', Tamari M. ↓, Legendre E. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 3.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, Lille has had a series of away games.

In this match, Lille is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Lille: Igamane H. (International duty) Mandi A. (International duty) Mbemba Ch. (International duty) Mukau N. (International duty) Ngoy N. (Red Card) Perraud R. (Red Card) Toure O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rennes: Ait Boudlal A. (International duty) Fofana S. (International duty) Nagida M. (International duty)

There are questionable in Lille: Fernandez-Pardo M. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rennes	8	5	1	2	18:14	4	16
3	Lille	8	4	3	1	11:6	5	15

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lille: 3.71% Rennes: 2.61%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
Coupe De France
20.12.25	Lusitanos Saint-Maur - Lille	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.12.25	Auxerre - Lille	3:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Young Boys - Lille	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
05.12.25	Lille - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Le Havre - Lille	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW
- Stade Rennes
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Rennes - Les Sables	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
13.12.25	Rennes - Brest	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Rennes	5:0 ✺
28.11.25	Metz - Rennes	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Rennes - Monaco	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
16.02.25	Rennes - Lille	0:2
24.11.24	Lille - Rennes	1:0
10.03.24	Lille - Rennes	2:2
16.09.23	Rennes - Lille	2:2
04.02.23	Rennes - Lille	1:3
06.11.22	Lille - Rennes	1:1
21.05.22	Lille - Rennes	2:2

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