Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 17

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)

Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 4
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 4, Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Lille		Rennes

	1	X	2
	1.73	4	4.75	Watch
	1.72	3.9	4.65
	1.88	3.95	4.24
	1.69	4.03	4.72	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.4
	1.74	4.03	4.79	Watch
	1.77	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.85)	3.89 ↑ (3.68)	4.58 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lille
54.6%

Draw
24.5%

Rennes
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

25.7%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

25%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.8%	15.4%	5.8%

Lille - Rennes Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Rennes (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Lille (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lille will win (41 of 52 users predict this - 78.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.75% – 89.95%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lille will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Rennes (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ozer B. (G) 12. Meunier T. 3. Ngoy N. 4. Alexsandro 24. Verdonk C. 21. Andre B. (C) 6. Bentaleb N. 14. Broholm M. 10. Haraldsson H. 7. Fernandez-Pardo M. 9. Giroud O.	30. Samba B. (G) 36. Seidu A. 97. Jacquet J. 3. Brassier L. 95. Frankowski P. 45. Camara M. 21. Rongier V. (C) 26. Merlin Q. 11. Tamari M. 39. Meite M. 7. Embolo B.
Substitutes
16. Bodart A. (G) 32. Bouaddi A. 42. Boussadia S. 27. Correia F. 35. Diaoune S. 38. Goffi A. 11. Sahraoui O. 22. Santos T. 41. Yondjo A.	10. Blas L. 6. Cisse D. 4. Kamara G. 75. Legendre E. 9. Lepaul E. 74. Limon P. 65. Mukiele N. 24. Rouault A. 50. Silistrie M. (G)
Coaches
Genesio B.	Beye H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Alexsandro 🟥,
14', Andre B. 🟨,
30', Jacquet J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Frankowski P. ⚽, Brassier L. (A),
56', 0 - 2, Merlin Q. ⚽, Embolo B. (A),
62', Meite M. ↓, Lepaul E. ↑,
62', Merlin Q. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
70', Broholm M. ↓, Correia F. ↑,
70', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Bouaddi A. ↑,
71', Giroud O. ↓, Diaoune S. ↑,
74', Verdonk C. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
84', Haraldsson H. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
90+2', Tamari M. ↓, Legendre E. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 3.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, Lille has had a series of away games.

In this match, Lille is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Lille: Igamane H. (International duty) Mandi A. (International duty) Mbemba Ch. (International duty) Mukau N. (International duty) Ngoy N. (Red Card) Perraud R. (Red Card) Toure O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rennes: Ait Boudlal A. (International duty) Fofana S. (International duty) Nagida M. (International duty)

There are questionable in Lille: Fernandez-Pardo M. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lille: 4.84% Rennes: 3.66%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8:9	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
Coupe De France
20.12.25	Lusitanos Saint-Maur - Lille	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.12.25	Auxerre - Lille	3:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Young Boys - Lille	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
05.12.25	Lille - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Le Havre - Lille	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW
- Stade Rennes
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Rennes - Les Sables	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
13.12.25	Rennes - Brest	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Rennes	5:0 ✺
28.11.25	Metz - Rennes	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Rennes - Monaco	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
16.02.25	Rennes - Lille	0:2
24.11.24	Lille - Rennes	1:0
10.03.24	Lille - Rennes	2:2
16.09.23	Rennes - Lille	2:2
04.02.23	Rennes - Lille	1:3
06.11.22	Lille - Rennes	1:1
21.05.22	Lille - Rennes	2:2

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