Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 24

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Charlety (Paris)

Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Paris FC		Troyes

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.83	3.25	4.6
				Watch
	1.85	3.3	4.4
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.77)	3.32 ↓ (3.5)	4.5 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
51.3%

Draw
28%

Troyes
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

26.5%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

26.6%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	10%	5%

Paris FC - Troyes Predictions

Users Predictions: Paris FC will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Nkambadio O. (G) 39. Tourraine M. 5. Mbow M. 15. Kolodziejczak T. (C) 28. De Smet T. 29. Hamel P. 21. Lopez M. 10. Kebbal I. 17. Camara A. 20. Lopez J. 11. Krasso J.	16. Lemaitre N. (G) 17. Mendes H. 6. Monfray A. (C) 4. Diaz Jr. M. 14. Boura I. 21. Irie C. 42. Kante A. 10. M'Changama Y. 11. Said R. 9. El Idrissy M. 7. Chavalerin X.
Substitutes
13. Cafaro M. 31. Chergui S. 12. Dicko N. 8. Doucet L. 19. Kante M. 2. Ollila T. 1. Riou R. (G)	25. Ba P. I. 1. Boucher Z. (G) 13. Detourbet M. 8. Diop M. 27. Dong K. 23. Gozzi P. 26. Phliponeau A.
Coaches
Gilli S.	Dumont S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', De Smet T. 🟨,
70', Tourraine M. 🟨,
71', Lopez J. ↓, Cafaro M. ↑,
71', Hamel P. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
71', El Idrissy M. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
74', Diaz Jr. M. 🟨,
76', Tourraine M. ↓, Chergui S. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Lopez M. ⚽, Kebbal I. (A),
84', Chavalerin X. ↓, Dong K. ↑,
84', Kante A. ↓, Phliponeau A. ↑,
86', Camara A. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
90', Irie C. ↓, Ba P. I. ↑,
90', M'Changama Y. ↓, Detourbet M. ↑,
90+2', Kebbal I. 🟨,
90+4', Dicko N. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Paris FC is a favorite.

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Gueye L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Troyes: Akpakoun T. (Injury) Hamdi M. (Injury) Ripart R. (Knee Injury) Tahrat M. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Paris FC: Camara A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Troyes: Phliponeau A. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:7 (average 1.4:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Paris FC won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
15.02.25	Dunkerque - Paris FC	1:0 ✺
07.02.25	Paris FC - Pau	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	Guingamp - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Paris FC - Red Star	4:1 ✺
18.01.25	Metz - Paris FC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWL
- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
14.02.25	Troyes - Lorient	0:1 ✺
07.02.25	Martigues - Troyes	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
04.02.25	Troyes - Brest	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
01.02.25	Troyes - Caen	3:0 ✺
24.01.25	Laval - Troyes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
21.10.24	Troyes - Paris FC	0:3
13.04.24	Troyes - Paris FC	1:2
28.10.23	Paris FC - Troyes	2:2
10.04.21	Paris FC - Troyes	1:1
05.12.20	Troyes - Paris FC	2:1
06.03.20	Troyes - Paris FC	1:1
04.10.19	Paris FC - Troyes	1:0

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