Match Info

National League - Round 6

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Meadow Park (Borehamwood)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Boreham Wood		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.1	3.9
	1.66	3.80	3.90
	1.68	3.95	4.1
	1.7	4.25	4.49
	1.8	3.95	3.84	Watch
	1.65	4.1	4.4
	1.64	3.98	4.21
	1.68	4.1	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.02)	4.03 ↑ (3.75)	4.12 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boreham Wood
54.8%

Draw
22.9%

Carlisle United
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

24.4%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

23.3%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boreham Wood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boreham Wood's performance.

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlisle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boreham Wood that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Boreham Wood - Carlisle United Predictions

Users Predictions: Boreham Wood will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gunter L. (G) 2. Clarke J. 6. O'Connell C. 5. Bush Ch. 3. Bainbridge O. 4. White T. (C) 23. Booty R. 11. Allarakhia T. 8. Brunt Z. 9. Cashman D. 32. Rush M.	1. Desbois A. (G) 20. Wearne S. 22. Williams J. 15. Nicholson B. 12. Galvin R. 18. Ellis J. 6. Azeez M. 4. Bunker H. 7. Ajiboye D. 5. Feeney M. (C) 9. Kelly G.
Substitutes
20. Ali Wahid F. 27. Bird J. 22. Curd T. (G) 17. Golden T. 25. Kensdale O. 21. Marshall-Miranda M. 7. Richardson L.	17. Duru L. 3. Harper C. 24. Jenks T. 10. Linney R. 11. Luamba J. 16. Mair A. (G) 19. Skinner L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Bainbridge O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', Booty R. 🟨,
58', Ajiboye D. ↓, Luamba J. ↑,
58', Williams J. ↓, Duru L. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Wearne S. ⚽, Azeez M. (A),
66', Wearne S. ↓, Jenks T. ↑,
68', Cashman D. ↓, Bird J. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Bird J. ⚽, Brunt Z. (A),
81', Kelly G. ↓, Linney R. ↑,
81', Galvin R. ↓, Harper C. ↑,
81', Bainbridge O. ↓, Golden T. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Ellis J. (Own goal),
85', O'Connell C. 🟨,
90+1', Brunt Z. ↓, Richardson L. ↑,
90+1', Booty R. ↓, Marshall-Miranda M. ↑,
90+7', Ellis J. 🟨,

Preview

Boreham Wood has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Carlisle has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Boreham Wood is considered a favorite.

We predict that Boreham Wood will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boreham Wood won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Boreham Wood won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	13	11	2	0	34:13	21	35
14	Carlisle	13	4	5	4	23:20	3	17

Last Results with these Odds

Boreham Wood - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.27%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Carlisle United - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 30.3%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boreham Wood
English National League North
31.08.26	Worthing - Boreham Wood	2:3 ✺
English National League
27.08.26	Boreham Wood - Boston United	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Forest Green Rovers - Boreham Wood	0:3 ✺
English National League Cup
18.08.26	Boreham Wood - Leeds United U21	5:2 ✺
English National League
15.08.26	Halifax Town - Boreham Wood	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW
- Carlisle United
English National League
31.08.26	Carlisle United - Scunthorpe United	4:2 ✺
28.08.26	Wealdstone - Carlisle United	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Carlisle United - Hornchurch	4:1 ✺
15.08.26	Yeovil Town - Carlisle United	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Carlisle United - Worthing	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
03.05.26	Carlisle United - Boreham Wood	1:2 ET
21.12.25	Boreham Wood - Carlisle United	2:0
16.08.25	Carlisle United - Boreham Wood	3:3
English FA Cup
19.11.13	Carlisle United - Boreham Wood	2:1
09.11.13	Boreham Wood - Carlisle United	0:0

Boreham Wood - Carlisle United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide