Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 5

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Meadow Park (Borehamwood)


	Boreham Wood		Oldham Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.2	2.7
	2.48	3.25	2.65
	2.61	3.26	2.83
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.53	3.2	2.73
	2.46	3.15	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (1.97)	3.19 ↓ (3.38)	2.73 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boreham Wood
37.4%

Draw
28.8%

Oldham Athletic
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

27.6%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

27%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boreham Wood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boreham Wood's form might have worsened.

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oldham Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boreham Wood, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Boreham Wood - Oldham Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Boreham Wood will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Oldham will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oldham: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ashmore N. (G) 21. Appiah K. 5. Bush Ch. 2. Coxe C. 12. Fyfield J. 3. Ilesanmi F. 10. Marsh T. 9. Ndlovu L. 17. O'Neil L. 6. Stephens D. 7. Whelan T.	13. Hudson M. (G) 22. Dickenson B. 23. Freeman K. 15. Green D. 4. Hogan L. 3. Kitching M. 30. Norwood J. 10. Nuttall J. 16. Raglan C. 6. Shelton M. 14. Sheron N.
Substitutes
11. Abraham T. 31. Brennan J. 20. Miller L. 19. Sousa E.	9. Fondop-Talum M. 19. Gardner D. 5. Hobson S. 25. Reid A. 7. Willoughby K.

Preview

Recent matches Boreham Wood is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oldham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Boreham Wood won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Boreham Wood won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boreham Wood
English National League
19.08.23	Altrincham - Boreham Wood	1:1 ✺
16.08.23	Boreham Wood - Solihull Moors	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Boreham Wood - Halifax Town	2:0 ✺
05.08.23	Gateshead - Boreham Wood	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Boreham Wood - Arsenal U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWTW
- Oldham Athletic
English National League
19.08.23	Chesterfield - Oldham Athletic	1:1 ✺
15.08.23	Oldham Athletic - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Oldham Athletic - Aldershot Town	5:1 ✺
05.08.23	Southend United - Oldham Athletic	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Oldham Athletic - Mansfield Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
04.03.23	Oldham Athletic - Boreham Wood	0:2
06.12.22	Boreham Wood - Oldham Athletic	2:1

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