Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 28

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Boundary Park (Oldham)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Oldham Athletic		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	5.25
	1.55	3.9	4.6
	1.53	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.56	4.2	5.41	Watch
	1.57	4	5
	1.51	4.2	5.48
	1.53	4.33	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.52)	4.14 ↑ (4.1)	5.25 ↓ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldham Athletic
60%

Draw
22.3%

Aldershot Town
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

22.4%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

21.8%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-1%)

Oldham Athletic - Aldershot Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hudson M. (G) 20. Caprice J. 24. Evans C. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 11. Kay J. 3. Kitching M. 6. Monthe M. 2. Ogle R. 16. Raglan C. (C) 25. Reid A. 15. Rossiter J.	28. Dewhurst M. (G) 36. Armitage W. 10. Barrett J. 8. Frost T. 7. Hargreaves C. 27. Henry J. 17. Jones A. (C) 18. Scott O. 19. Stuttle J. 6. Widdrington T. 33. Woodhouse L.
Substitutes
7. Charsley H. . Daniels 14. Garner J. . Leake J. 8. Lundstram J. 17. Uchegbulam J. 29. Waters B.	22. Barham J. 9. Corbett K. 35. Ellison D. 11. Jones R. 24. Mullins M. 34. Tetek D. 1. van Stappershoef J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
41', Barrett J. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Monthe M. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Barrett J. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 2, Barrett J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Evans C. ↓, Lundstram J. ↑,
51', 1 - 3, Barrett J. ⚽,
55', Kay J. ↓, Charsley H. ↑,
55', Caprice J. ↓, Uchegbulam J. ↑,
55', Reid A. ↓, Waters B. ↑,
56', Stuttle J. ↓, Barham J. ↑,
74', Woodhouse L. 🟨,
77', Rossiter J. 🟨,
84', Hargreaves C. 🟨,
85', Widdrington T. 🟨,
90', Widdrington T. ↓, Tetek D. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18).

Oldham is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Aldershot is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aldershot could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Oldham is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oldham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Oldham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 3.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oldham Athletic
English National League
07.01.25	Eastleigh - Oldham Athletic	2:2 ✺
01.01.25	Hartlepool United - Oldham Athletic	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Braintree Town - Oldham Athletic	0:2 ✺
14.12.24	Oldham Athletic - Wealdstone	3:2 ✺
English National League Cup
10.12.24	Oldham Athletic - Blackburn Rovers U21	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLWWW
- Aldershot Town
English National League
14.01.25	Aldershot Town - Braintree Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.01.25	Aldershot Town - Chertsey Town	8:0 ✺
English National League
01.01.25	Sutton United - Aldershot Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Aldershot Town - Woking	2:2 ✺
21.12.24	Forest Green Rovers - Aldershot Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
24.08.24	Aldershot Town - Oldham Athletic	4:1
09.03.24	Aldershot Town - Oldham Athletic	2:0
12.08.23	Oldham Athletic - Aldershot Town	5:1
28.01.23	Aldershot Town - Oldham Athletic	1:1
26.08.22	Oldham Athletic - Aldershot Town	2:1

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