Match Info

Date: 6 September 2022, Tuesday

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Hungary	Sport 2
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Borussia Dortmund		Copenhagen

	1	X	2
	1.3	6	8.5
	1.3	5.75	9.5
	1.32	6.25	10
	1.32	5.8	8.4
	1.32	5.96	9.75
	1.3	5.5	9.5
	1.3	6.05	9.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.36)	5.9 ↑ (5.35)	9.36 ↑ (7.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
73.4%

Draw
16.3%

Copenhagen
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

17.8%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

17.5%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Copenhagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88%	4.6%	7.4%

Borussia Dortmund - Copenhagen Predictions

Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (95 of 108 users predict this - 87.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.82% – 94.1%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Borussia D has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (18%), has a chance of 2nd (50%), has a chance of 3rd (24%), has a good chance of round of 16 (68%), has a chance of qtrs (30%), has a small chance of semis (12%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Copenhagen has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a small chance of 2nd (6%), has a chance of 3rd (23%), has a small chance of round of 16 (7%), has a very small chance of qtrs (1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 66, importance 65, match rating 65. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Copenhagen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Borussia D is certain favorite.

There will not play in Borussia D: Bynoe-Gittens J. (Shoulder Injury) Dahoud M. (Shoulder Injury) Haller S. (Illness) Morey Bauza M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Copenhagen: Grabara K. (Face Injury) Oikonomou M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Borussia D: Adeyemi K. (Injury) Guerreiro R. (Illness) Malen D. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Copenhagen: Bardghji R. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Borussia D to win the game is with odds 1.3.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
02.09.22	Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Hertha Berlin - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
20.08.22	Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen	2:3 ✺
12.08.22	Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:3 ✺
06.08.22	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWW
- FC Copenhagen
Danish Superliga
02.09.22	Copenhagen - Silkeborg IF	1:0 ✺
28.08.22	Nordsjælland - Copenhagen	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.08.22	Trabzonspor - Copenhagen	0:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
19.08.22	Lyngby BK - Copenhagen	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.08.22	Copenhagen - Trabzonspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLTWW

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