Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 29

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)

Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 3
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	Canal GOAT, SporTV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
China	CCTV-5
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Borussia Dortmund		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.8	3.1	Watch
	1.93	3.8	3.6
	2.18	3.7	3.05	Watch
	2.19	3.85	3.23
	2.04	3.93	3.48	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.12	3.87	3.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.9)	3.78 ↓ (3.96)	3.27 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
45.6%

Draw
25.3%

Bayer Leverkusen
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

24%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

23.7%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Dortmund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Bayer will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kobel G. (G) 3. Anton W. 4. Schlotterbeck N. (C) 5. Bensebaini R. 26. Ryerson J. 20. Sabitzer M. 7. Bellingham J. 10. Brandt J. 24. Svensson D. 9. Guirassy S. 21. Silva F.	1. Flekken M. (G) 8. Andrich R. (C) 5. Bade L. 12. Tapsoba E. 42. Culbreath M. 25. Palacios E. 24. Garcia A. 20. Grimaldo A. 30. Maza I. 23. Tella N. 35. Kofane C.
Substitutes
41. Albert M. 14. Beier M. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 40. Inacio S. 42. Kabar A. 33. Meyer A. (G) 6. Ozcan S. 49. Reggiani L. 25. Sule N.	17. Ben Seghir E. 28. Blaswich J. (G) 6. Fernandez E. 7. Hofmann J. 21. Lucas 15. Oermann T. 19. Poku E. 14. Schick P. 10. Tillman M.
Coaches
Kovac N.	Hjulmand K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Bensebaini R. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Andrich R. ⚽,
45', Guirassy S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Kofane C. ↓, Schick P. ↑,
59', Svensson D. ↓, Beier M. ↑,
63', Beier M. 🟨,
64', Sabitzer M. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
64', Silva F. ↓, Inacio S. ↑,
74', Tella N. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
74', Culbreath M. ↓, Lucas ↑,
75', Ryerson J. ↓, Kabar A. ↑,
76', Bellingham J. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
90+2', Maza I. ↓, Tillman M. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 2.

Borussia D is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Bayer has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Borussia D will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Borussia D: Adeyemi K. (Yellow Cards) Can E. (Knee Injury) Couto Y. (Muscle Injury) Nmecha F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bayer: Arthur (Ankle Injury) Terrier M. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Borussia D: Mane F. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Bayer: Quansah J. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 48:33. (average 2.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 2.6:1.5).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Dortmund: 9.23% Bayer Leverkusen: 3.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9:2	7	12
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10:5	5	7

Last Results with these Odds

Borussia Dortmund - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 50.03%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
04.04.26	Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Köln - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL
- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
04.04.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg	6:3 ✺
21.03.26	Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	3:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.03.26	Arsenal - Bayer Leverkusen	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
14.03.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.03.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
02.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1
German Bundesliga
29.11.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund	1:2
11.05.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund	2:4
10.01.25	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	2:3
21.04.24	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1
03.12.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund	1:1
29.01.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund	0:2

Upcoming Matches