The best margin for this event is 0.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hertha Berlin 21.7%
Draw 21.7%
Borussia Dortmund 56.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.4%
21.4%
57.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.7%
20.7%
59%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.3%
11%
70.6%
Hertha Berlin - Borussia Dortmund Predictions
Users Predictions:
109 users predict this event. Hertha will win (votes: 20 - 18.3%). Borussia D will win (votes: 77 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 11%). Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 62% – 79.2%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Hertha has the most likely position - 18 (17.2%), has project points - 34, has currently - 1, has a chance of relegated (35%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Borussia D has the most likely position - 2 (23.55%), has project points - 59, has currently - 6, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (56%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
This event has quality68, importance50, match rating59. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hertha won 1.
Hertha has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Borussia D is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Borussia D could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Hertha have a series of guest games.
In this match Borussia D is a favorite.
There will not play in Hertha: Gechter L.
(Injury)
Lee Dong-Jun
(Knee Injury)
Ngankam J.
(Knee Injury)
Nsona K.
(Knee Injury)
Uremovic F.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Borussia D: Akanji M.
(Coach's decision)
Haller S.
(Illness)
Malen D.
(Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Hertha: Scherhant D.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Borussia D: Adeyemi K.
(Foot Injury)
Dahoud M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Reus M.
(Calf Injury)
Last 22 head-to-head matches Hertha won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 20-40.
Including matches at home between the teams Hertha won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-22.
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