Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 13

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes Ganza, Startimes Sports Arena, Startimes Sports Focus, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, Startimes World Football
Albania	17:30	SuperSport 3
Argentina	13:30	Disney+
Asia	—	MBC Action
Australia	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	17:30	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	17:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Brazil	13:30	Caze TV
Bulgaria	18:30	Nova Sport
Cameroon	17:30	CRTV Sports
Canada	11:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Czech Republic	17:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	17:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	18:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	17:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	17:30	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	18:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	00:30	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	16:30	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	22:00	Vision+
Indonesia	23:30	iNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, Vidio
Israel	18:30	Sport 2
Italy	17:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
Japan	01:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	22:30	Setanta Sports
Laos	23:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	17:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	10:30	Sky Sport
Mongolia	00:30	Premier Sports 3
Mozambique	18:30	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	17:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	05:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	17:30	Viaplay
Pakistan	21:30	Tapmad
Peru	11:30	Disney+
Poland	17:30	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	16:30	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	18:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	19:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	19:30	Shahid
Serbia	17:30	Arena Sport 7
Singapore	00:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	17:30	Voyo
Slovenia	17:30	Sport TV1
South Korea	01:30	Coupang Play
Spain	17:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	17:30	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	17:30	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	23:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	19:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	18:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	16:30	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	13:30	Disney+
Usa	11:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	12:30	Disney+
Vietnam	23:30	TV 360
International	16:30	Onefootball


	Borussia Dortmund		Hoffenheim

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.5	4.33	Watch
	1.68	4.25	4.45	Watch
	1.7	4.45	4.57
	1.66	4.51	4.45	Watch
	1.62	4	4.6	Watch
	1.7	4.58	4.83	Watch
	1.68	4.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.59)	4.37 ↓ (4.58)	4.53 ↓ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
57.1%

Draw
21.8%

Hoffenheim
21.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.8%

20.8%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

22.9%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Dortmund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.5%	27.5%	15%

Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 23 - 60.5%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 4 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 28.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 45% – 76%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Hoffenheim (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Hoffenheim (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Borussia D (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Hoffenheim (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kobel G. (G) 28. Anselmino A. 3. Anton W. 4. Schlotterbeck N. 2. Couto Y. 20. Sabitzer M. 8. Nmecha F. 24. Svensson D. 27. Adeyemi K. 10. Brandt J. 9. Guirassy S.	1. Baumann O. (G) 34. Coufal V. 2. Hranac R. 21. Hajdari A. 13. Bernardo 6. Promel G. 7. Avdullahu L. 18. Burger W. 11. Asllani F. 19. Lemperle T. 29. Toure B.
Substitutes
14. Beier M. 7. Bellingham J. 5. Bensebaini R. 23. Can E. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 13. Gross P. 33. Meyer A. (G) 26. Ryerson J. 21. Silva F.	9. Bebou I. 15. Gendrey V. 23. Hlozek A. 5. Kabak O. 27. Kramaric A. 33. Moerstedt M. 37. Philipp L. (G) 22. Prass A. 17. Tohumcu U.
Coaches
Kovac N.	Ilzer C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Brandt J. ⚽, Couto Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 2 - 0, Schlotterbeck N. ⚽, Nmecha F. (A),
62', Asllani F. ↓, Kramaric A. ↑,
65', Bernardo 🟨,
68', Hajdari A. 🟨,
73', Lemperle T. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
73', Promel G. ↓, Tohumcu U. ↑,
80', Brandt J. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
80', Adeyemi K. ↓, Beier M. ↑,
80', Burger W. ↓, Hlozek A. ↑,
80', Toure B. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
90', Guirassy S. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
90', Nmecha F. ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
90+3', Couto Y. ↓, Ryerson J. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 3.

Borussia D has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hoffenheim is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hoffenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Borussia D is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Borussia D: Sule N. (Toe Injury)

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Machida K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:31. (average 1.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
German DFB Pokal
02.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
29.11.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.11.25	Borussia Dortmund - Villarreal	4:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
22.11.25	Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart	3:3 ✺
08.11.25	Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWTT
- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
29.11.25	Hoffenheim - Augsburg	3:0 ✺
21.11.25	Mainz - Hoffenheim	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim	2:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	St. Pauli - Hoffenheim	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
26.04.25	Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund	2:3
15.12.24	Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim	1:1
25.02.24	Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim	2:3
German DFB Pokal
01.11.23	Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim	1:0
German Bundesliga
29.09.23	Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund	1:3
25.02.23	Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund	0:1
02.09.22	Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim	1:0

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