Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Yanmar Stadium Nagai (Osaka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 3
Austria	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport News, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	Digi Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 2, Sport TV1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Turkey	S Sport+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cerezo Osaka		Borussia Dortmund

	1	X	2
	2.9	4.1	1.85	Watch
	3.90	4.40	1.57
	3.45	4.15	1.82
	2.98	4.2	2.05
	3.78	4.4	1.75	Watch
	2.75	3.7	2.02
	3.23	4.33	1.9	Watch
	3.25	4.1	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (8.43)	4.17 ↓ (5.7)	1.84 ↑ (1.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cerezo Osaka
28%

Draw
22%

Borussia Dortmund
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.1%

16.4%

72.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cerezo Osaka's performance.

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Borussia Dortmund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Cerezo Osaka - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Borussia D will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerezo Osaka: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Cerezo Osaka (6.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Nakamura K. (G) 44. Hatanaka S. 4. Inoue R. 27. Cools D. 2. Nakamura T. 10. Tanaka S. 8. Kagawa S. (C) 22. Takahashi N. 28. Okazawa K. 14. Yokoyama Y. 9. Sakuragawa S.	33. Meyer A. (G) 22. Gadou J. 39. Mane F. 49. Reggiani L. 2. Couto Y. 7. Bellingham J. 28. Lerma J. 42. Kabar A. 43. Yamamoto T. 40. Inacio S. 9. Guirassy S. (C)
Substitutes
31. Abe K. (G) 43. Chimeziekai E. 77. Fernandes L. 46. Isibor K. (G) 5. Kida H. 41. Komi Y. 26. Kubo E. 45. Nagasoe K. 6. Noborizato K. 66. Ohata A. 16. Okuda H. 97. Takahashi T. 7. Uejo S.	54. Adje M. 41. Albert M. 46. Azhil A. 30. Drewes P. (G) 44. Duarte E. 56. Faust T. 57. Mirza M. O. 53. RIedl J. 52. Ritter R. 21. Silva F. 51. Wessels A.
Coaches
Machin P.	Kovac N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Sakuragawa S. ⚽, Nakamura T. (A),
35', Mane F. ↓, RIedl J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nakamura K. ↓, Abe K. ↑,
60', Guirassy S. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
61', Lerma J. ↓, Wessels A. ↑,
61', Yamamoto T. ↓, Adje M. ↑,
61', Inacio S. ↓, Azhil A. ↑,
61', Reggiani L. ↓, Mirza M. O. ↑,
61', Bellingham J. ↓, Duarte E. ↑,
61', Kabar A. ↓, Albert M. ↑,
62', Couto Y. ↓, Ritter R. ↑,
65', Kagawa S. ↓, Uejo S. ↑,
65', Cools D. ↓, Takahashi T. ↑,
77', Yokoyama Y. ↓, Komi Y. ↑,
77', Inoue R. ↓, Noborizato K. ↑,
77', Sakuragawa S. ↓, Kida H. ↑,
78', RIedl J. ↓, Faust T. ↑,
85', Nakamura T. ↓, Okuda H. ↑,
85', Okazawa K. ↓, Kubo E. ↑,
85', Takahashi N. ↓, Ohata A. ↑,
88', Ritter R. 🟨,

Preview

Borussia D may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Borussia D is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cerezo Osaka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Including home match between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
06.06.26	Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka	1:3 ✺
30.05.26	Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Fagiano Okayama - Cerezo Osaka	2:3 ✺
17.05.26	Cerezo Osaka - Nagoya Grampus	6:1 ✺
09.05.26	Cerezo Osaka - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WTWWW
- Borussia Dortmund
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Borussia Dortmund	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Borussia Dortmund	1:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
16.05.26	Werder Bremen - Borussia Dortmund	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Borussia Dortmund - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:2 ✺
03.05.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.07.24	Cerezo Osaka - Borussia Dortmund	2:3

Upcoming Matches