Match Info

3. Liga - Round 28

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Audi Sportpark (Ingolstadt)

Referee: Fuchs N. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Ingolstadt		Verl

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.6	2.25	Watch
	2.8	3.7	2.25
	2.62	3.7	2.3	Watch
	2.78	3.9	2.34
	2.62	3.76	2.37	Watch
	2.63	3.4	2.25
	2.7	3.84	2.28	Watch
	2.95	3.8	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.96)	3.71 ↓ (3.75)	2.27 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt
34.1%

Draw
25%

Verl
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

24.6%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

23.5%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Verl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verl than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Ingolstadt - Verl Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ingolstadt will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ingolstadt (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ingolstadt (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Eisele K. (G) 24. Christensen G. 23. Maljojoki J. 32. Lorenz S. 34. Frode L. (C) 19. Rosenlocher L. 17. Besuschkow M. 14. Plath M. 22. Costly M. 29. Kugel J. 10. Kaygin D.	1. Schulze P. (G) 20. Mhamdi O. 5. Ens M. 34. Otto F. 19. Kijewski N. (C) 6. Eze J. 8. Waidner D. 10. Taz B. 30. Gayret T. 11. Worner M. 35. Foti A.
Substitutes
11. Christensen F. 20. Deichmann Y. 30. Drakulic O. 5. Gul E. 2. Hoppe M. 44. Kehrer E. 47. Klein D. (G) 39. Ozturk B. 7. Sturm Y.	9. Arweiler J. 23. Besio A. 21. Knost T. 14. Lehmann P. 28. Otto Y. 32. Pekruhl F. (G) 7. Stark J. 24. Stocker M. 18. Wessig F.
Coaches
Wittmann S.	Strobl T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Worner M. ⚽,
12', 0 - 2, Taz B. ⚽, Waidner D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rosenlocher L. ↓, Deichmann Y. ↑,
46', Kugel J. ↓, Drakulic O. ↑,
47', Foti A. ↓, Besio A. ↑,
52', Plath M. 🟨,
58', Besuschkow M. 🟨,
65', Kaygin D. ↓, Sturm Y. ↑,
72', Worner M. ↓, Arweiler J. ↑,
72', Taz B. ↓, Stark J. ↑,
75', Besuschkow M. ↓, Gul E. ↑,
83', Frode L. ↓, Kehrer E. ↑,
84', Eze J. ↓, Otto Y. ↑,
85', Kijewski N. ↓, Stocker M. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Maljojoki J. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 1.

Ingolstadt has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Verl is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Verl could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ingolstadt won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

Ingolstadt: 1.38% Verl: 0.95%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Verl	7	3	1	3	10:13	-3	10
15	Ingolstadt	7	2	2	3	7:11	-4	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
04.03.26	Ingolstadt - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Wehen Wiesbaden - Ingolstadt	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Ingolstadt - TSV Havelse	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Schweinfurt - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Ingolstadt - Energie Cottbus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLWTT
- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
03.03.26	Verl - Jahn Regensburg	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Energie Cottbus - Verl	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Alemannia Aachen - Verl	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Verl - Hoffenheim II	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Duisburg - Verl	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
01.10.25	Verl - Ingolstadt	2:2
15.03.25	Verl - Ingolstadt	1:4
19.10.24	Ingolstadt - Verl	1:1
17.03.24	Ingolstadt - Verl	0:1
14.10.23	Verl - Ingolstadt	2:2
29.04.23	Ingolstadt - Verl	3:1
05.11.22	Verl - Ingolstadt	2:1

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