Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 28

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Niederrheinstadion (Oberhausen)

Referee: Burda M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport


	Borussia Dortmund II		Zwickau

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.15	3.4	3.2
	2.18	3.3	3.1
	2.1	3.3	3.1
	2.22	3.43	3.43
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.12	3.44	3.2	Watch
	2.14	3.25	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.22)	3.3 ↑ (3.18)	3.15 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund II
42.9%

Draw
27.9%

Zwickau
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

28.7%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Zwickau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Borussia Dortmund II - Zwickau Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Borussia Dortmund II will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Zwickau will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Zwickau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Borussia Dortmund II will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Borussia Dortmund II won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Borussia Dortmund II won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
15.03.23	Oldenburg - Borussia Dortmund II	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Dynamo Dresden	1:3 ✺
03.03.23	Freiburg II - Borussia Dortmund II	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Waldhof Mannheim	4:0 ✺
19.02.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Borussia Dortmund II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWL
- FSV Zwickau
German 3 Bundesliga
14.03.23	Zwickau - Erzgebirge Aue	0:2 ✺
11.03.23	Viktoria Köln - Zwickau	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Zwickau - Verl	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Bayreuth - Zwickau	5:3 ✺
18.02.23	Zwickau - Elversberg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
17.09.22	Zwickau - Borussia Dortmund II	1:2
18.12.21	Borussia Dortmund II - Zwickau	3:1
24.07.21	Zwickau - Borussia Dortmund II	1:2

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