Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 14

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: GGZ-Arena Zwickau (Zwickau) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Germany	14:00	MDR Fernsehen
Switzerland	14:00	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Zwickau		Erzgebirge Aue

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.45	2.45
	2.48	3.65	2.55
	2.46	3.54	2.51
	2.4	3.3	2.5
	2.43	3.62	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.43)	3.51 ↓ (3.62)	2.46 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwickau
37.2%

Draw
25.9%

Erzgebirge Aue
36.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.6%

24.6%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

24.1%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwickau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Zwickau - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Loune A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
74', 0 - 2, Heidrich F. ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 3, Loubongo-M'Boungou A. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 9th and 8th).

Zwickau has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Aue has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Zwickau could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Zwickau has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zwickau against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Aue	14	7	3	4	23:18	5	24
10	Zwickau	14	5	4	5	17:22	-5	19

Last Results with these Odds

Zwickau - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.6%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Erzgebirge Aue - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 38.84%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV Zwickau
German Regionalliga Nordost
16.10.26	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Zwickau	2:2 ✺
09.10.26	Zwickau - Tasmania Berlin	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Hertha Berlin II - Zwickau	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Zwickau - Hallescher	1:3 ✺
15.09.26	Zwickau - Altglienicke	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWTLL
- Erzgebirge Aue
German Regionalliga Nordost
18.10.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Hallescher	0:1 ✺
11.10.26	Greifswald - Erzgebirge Aue	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Chemie Leipzig	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Erzgebirge Aue	2:2 ✺
16.09.26	Magdeburg II - Erzgebirge Aue	1:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
14.03.23	Zwickau - Erzgebirge Aue	0:2
11.09.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Zwickau	0:1

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