Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 27

Date: 14 March 2023, Tuesday

Location: GGZ-Arena Zwickau (Zwickau)

Referee: Heft F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport


	Zwickau		Erzgebirge Aue

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.5
	2.65	3.3	2.55
	2.6	3.15	2.63
	2.7	3.25	2.45
	2.8	3.37	2.64
	2.7	3.1	2.4
	2.67	3.38	2.47	Watch
	2.65	3.15	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.73)	3.24 ↑ (3.13)	2.51 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwickau
34.4%

Draw
28.6%

Erzgebirge Aue
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

28.9%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28.7%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwickau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Zwickau - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Zwickau will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Aue will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Zwickau is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aue is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zwickau won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV Zwickau
German 3 Bundesliga
11.03.23	Viktoria Köln - Zwickau	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Zwickau - Verl	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Bayreuth - Zwickau	5:3 ✺
18.02.23	Zwickau - Elversberg	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Duisburg - Zwickau	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWLLL
- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
11.03.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue	1:0 ✺
26.02.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Saarbrücken	2:1 ✺
17.02.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Erzgebirge Aue	1:2 ✺
10.02.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
11.09.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Zwickau	0:1

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