Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 3

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Borussia-Park (Mönchengladbach)

Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Borussia Mönchengladbach		Werder Bremen

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.9	3	Watch
	1.98	3.9	3.4
	2.12	3.95	3.05	Watch
	2.02	4.15	3.45
	100.00	15.64	1.00	Watch
	1.75	3.8	3.9
	2.15	3.99	3.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	16.02 ↑ (1.86)	5.62 ↑ (4.05)	2.98 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Mönchengladbach
10.8%

Draw
30.9%

Werder Bremen
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

23.6%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

23.3%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Mönchengladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-40.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Borussia Mönchengladbach's form might have worsened.

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+33.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Werder Bremen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (+41.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Mönchengladbach, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-33.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Werder Bremen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	30%	16.7%

Borussia Mönchengladbach - Werder Bremen Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Borussia M will win (votes: 15 - 53.6%). Werder will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia M: 35.1% – 72.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Werder (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Mönchengladbach will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia M (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Werder (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nicolas M. (G) 4. Diks K. 30. Elvedi N. 2. Chiarodia F. C. 26. Ullrich L. 9. Honorat F. 27. Reitz R. (C) 16. Sander P. 13. Reyna G. 25. Hack R. 18. Machino S.	30. Backhaus M. (G) 3. Sugawara Y. 32. Friedl M. (C) 31. Coulibaly K. 27. Agu F. 20. Schmid R. 6. Stage J. 14. Lynen S. 18. Puertas C. 7. Mbangula S. 17. Grull M.
Substitutes
17. Castrop J. 6. Engelhardt Y. 5. Friedrich M. 20. Netz L. 1. Omlin J. (G) 28. Ranos G. 29. Scally J. 7. Stoger K. 15. Tabakovic H.	28. Alvero S. 10. Bittencourt L. 44. Boniface V. 24. Covic P. 13. Hein K. (G) 11. Njinmah J. 33. Schmetgens M. 23. Schmidt I. 9. Topp K.
Coaches
Seoane G.	Steffen H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Mbangula S. ⚽, Sugawara Y. (A),
26', 0 - 2, Stage J. ⚽, Mbangula S. (A),
38', Machino S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', Sander P. ↓, Engelhardt Y. ↑,
60', Hack R. ↓, Tabakovic H. ↑,
60', Ullrich L. ↓, Netz L. ↑,
63', Stage J. ↓, Bittencourt L. ↑,
73', 0 - 3, Schmid R. (Pen),
74', Reyna G. ↓, Ranos G. ↑,
74', Chiarodia F. C. ↓, Stoger K. ↑,
75', Mbangula S. ↓, Njinmah J. ↑,
75', Schmid R. ↓, Boniface V. ↑,
81', 0 - 4, Njinmah J. ⚽, Boniface V. (A),
82', Puertas C. ↓, Covic P. ↑,
82', Friedl M. ↓, Alvero S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 2.

In recent matches, Borussia M has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Werder is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Borussia M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Borussia M might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Borussia M: Kleindienst T. (Knee Injury) Ngoumou N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Swider N. (Illness)

There will not play in Werder: Deman O. (Ankle Injury) Stark N. (Red Card) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Werder: Malatini J. (Ankle Injury) Pieper A. (Hip Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:29. (average 2.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia M won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 2.3:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Borussia Mönchengladbach - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 51.53%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Mönchengladbach
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.08.25	Stuttgart - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Hamburger SV	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.25	Atlas Delmenhorst - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.25	Brentford - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLTWT
- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
30.08.25	Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen	3:3 ✺
23.08.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Werder Bremen	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
15.08.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Werder Bremen - Udinese	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Werder Bremen - Udinese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
15.03.25	Werder Bremen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:4
03.11.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Werder Bremen	4:1
04.05.24	Werder Bremen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:2
15.12.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Werder Bremen	2:2
Club Friendly
07.09.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Werder Bremen	0:1
German Bundesliga
17.03.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Werder Bremen	2:2
01.10.22	Werder Bremen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	5:1

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