What is the expert prediction for Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, August 30, 2025)

Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 2

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Weserstadion (Bremen)

Referee: Braun R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, New World Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free, New World TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 2
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3, Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 7, SportKlub 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Werder Bremen		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.9	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.9	1.93
	3.45	3.7	2.02
	3.78	3.96	1.96
	6.65	4.83	1.42	Watch
	3.4	3.75	1.91	Watch
	3.52	4.2	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (3.42)	4.03 ↑ (3.73)	1.89 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Werder Bremen
24.4%

Draw
24.1%

Bayer Leverkusen
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

25.4%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

24.9%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	18.2%	63.6%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Werder will win (votes: 7 - 16.3%). Bayer will win (votes: 28 - 65.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 18.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 50.9% – 79.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayer (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Werder (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Werder (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Bayer (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Backhaus M. (G) 3. Sugawara Y. 4. Stark N. 31. Coulibaly K. 27. Agu F. 24. Covic P. 14. Lynen S. 11. Njinmah J. 20. Schmid R. 7. Mbangula S. 17. Grull M.	1. Flekken M. (G) 16. Tape A. 4. Quansah J. 12. Tapsoba E. 23. Tella N. 8. Andrich R. (C) 24. Garcia A. 20. Grimaldo A. 10. Tillman M. 35. Kofane C. M. 14. Schick P.
Substitutes
34. Adeh W. 28. Alvero S. 10. Bittencourt L. 21. Hansen-Aaroen I. 13. Hein K. (G) 35. Opitz L. 33. Schmetgens M. 23. Schmidt I. 9. Topp K.	13. Arthur 5. Bade L. 28. Blaswich J. (G) 9. Echeverri C. 3. Hincapie P. 30. Maza I. 25. Palacios E. 19. Poku E. 18. Sarco A.
Coaches
Steffen H.	ten Hag E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Schick P. ⚽, Tella N. (A),
35', 0 - 2, Tillman M. ⚽,
37', Lynen S. 🟨,
44', 1 - 2, Schmid R. (Pen),
45+4', Stark N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', Kofane C. M. 🟨,
61', Garcia A. ↓, Palacios E. ↑,
61', Tillman M. ↓, Echeverri C. ↑,
63', Stark N. 🟨,
64', 1 - 3, Schick P. (Pen),
65', Covic P. ↓, Bittencourt L. ↑,
65', Njinmah J. ↓, Alvero S. ↑,
70', Tella N. 🟨,
71', Mbangula S. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
71', Grull M. ↓, Topp K. ↑,
72', Tape A. ↓, Bade L. ↑,
72', Kofane C. M. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
76', 2 - 3, Schmidt I. ⚽, Topp K. (A),
86', Quansah J. 🟨,
87', Tella N. ↓, Maza I. ↑,
90+1', Schmidt I. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 3, Coulibaly K. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 1.

Werder is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bayer has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bayer might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Werder: Deman O. (Ankle Injury) Friedl M. (Knee Injury) Malatini J. (Ankle Injury) Pieper A. (Hip Injury) Stage J. (Foot Injury) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Bayer: Terrier M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Bayer: Bade L. (Calf Injury) Belocian J. (Knee Injury) Hofmann J. (Muscle Injury) Palacios E. (Muscle Injury) Tillman M. (Injury)

We predict that Bayer will win today's game, with odds of 1.94.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Werder won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:40. (average 1.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:22. (average 1:2.4).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
23.08.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Werder Bremen	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
15.08.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Werder Bremen - Udinese	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Werder Bremen - Udinese	0:1 ✺
01.08.25	Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
23.08.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
15.08.25	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Bayer Leverkusen	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.25	Chelsea - Bayer Leverkusen	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Pisa	3:0 ✺
01.08.25	Fortuna Sittard - Bayer Leverkusen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
08.03.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen	0:2
26.10.24	Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen	2:2
14.04.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen	5:0
25.11.23	Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen	0:3
12.03.23	Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen	2:3
17.09.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen	1:1
08.05.21	Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen	0:0

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Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide