Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Borussia-Park (Mönchengladbach)

Referee: Storks S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Borussia Mönchengladbach		Eintracht Frankfurt

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.25	Watch
	2.98	3.55	2.32	Watch
	3.06	3.75	2.34
	24.63	43.06	1.00	Watch
	3.27	3.69	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.39 ↑ (3.26)	11.53 ↑ (3.87)	2.02 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Mönchengladbach
18.9%

Draw
12.1%

Eintracht Frankfurt
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

24.7%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

24.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Mönchengladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Borussia Mönchengladbach's form might have worsened.

Eintracht Frankfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eintracht Frankfurt's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Mönchengladbach, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (-22.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eintracht Frankfurt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.5%	3.7%	77.8%

Borussia Mönchengladbach - Eintracht Frankfurt Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Borussia M will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Eintracht will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eintracht: 62.1% – 93.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Eintracht Frankfurt will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nicolas M. (G) 4. Diks K. 30. Elvedi N. 2. Chiarodia F. C. 29. Scally J. 27. Reitz R. (C) 6. Engelhardt Y. 26. Ullrich L. 7. Stoger K. 17. Castrop J. 18. Machino S.	40. Kaua Santos (G) 34. Collins N. 4. Koch R. 3. Theate A. 21. Brown N. 20. Doan R. 8. Chaibi F. 15. Skhiri E. 42. Uzun C. Y. 7. Knauff A. 9. Burkardt J.
Substitutes
22. Fraulo O. 5. Friedrich M. 34. Herrmann C. 20. Netz L. 10. Neuhaus F. 1. Omlin J. (G) 28. Ranos G. 16. Sander P. 15. Tabakovic H.	5. Amenda A. 19. Bahoya J. 30. Batshuayi M. 24. Buta 27. Gotze M. 6. Hojlund O. 16. Larsson H. 17. Wahi E. 23. Zetterer M. (G)
Coaches
Polanski E.	Toppmoller D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 5)
11', 0 - 1, Koch R. ⚽, Chaibi F. (A),
15', 0 - 2, Knauff A. ⚽, Doan R. (A),
35', 0 - 3, Burkardt J. ⚽, Uzun C. Y. (A),
38', Chiarodia F. C. ↓, Tabakovic H. ↑,
38', Stoger K. ↓, Neuhaus F. ↑,
39', 0 - 4, Chaibi F. ⚽, Doan R. (A),
45+1', 0 - 5, Uzun C. Y. ⚽, Chaibi F. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 1)
47', 0 - 6, Koch R. ⚽, Brown N. (A),
57', Uzun C. Y. ↓, Gotze M. ↑,
57', Collins N. ↓, Buta ↑,
61', Reitz R. ↓, Netz L. ↑,
61', Machino S. ↓, Sander P. ↑,
71', Doan R. ↓, Hojlund O. ↑,
71', Burkardt J. ↓, Wahi E. ↑,
72', 1 - 6, Castrop J. ⚽, Scally J. (A),
78', Brown N. ↓, Amenda A. ↑,
78', 2 - 6, Tabakovic H. ⚽, Netz L. (A),
82', Ullrich L. ↓, Ranos G. ↑,
83', 3 - 6, Engelhardt Y. ⚽,
90+1', Amenda A. 🟨,
90+5', Knauff A. 🟨,
90+5', Diks K. 🟨,
90+9', 4 - 6, Ranos G. ⚽, Scally J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Eintracht is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Borussia M: Hack R. (Knee Injury) Kleindienst T. (Knee Injury) Ngoumou N. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Eintracht: Kristensen R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Borussia M: Chiarodia F. C. (Calf Injury) Honorat F. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Eintracht: Collins N. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia M won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Eintracht Frankfurt - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 46.06%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
21.09.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Werder Bremen	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.08.25	Stuttgart - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Hamburger SV	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWLT
- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
21.09.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin	3:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.09.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Galatasaray	5:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
12.09.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Hoffenheim - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Werder Bremen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
08.02.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1
German DFB Pokal
30.10.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:1
German Bundesliga
21.09.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:0
11.05.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1
20.12.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:1
15.04.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1
22.10.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:3

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