Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 3

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: BayArena (Leverkusen)

Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, New World Sport 1
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	Bayer Leverkusen		Eintracht Frankfurt

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.8	2.9
	2.18	3.7	3.15	Watch
	2.2	3.85	3.31
	1.40	3.46	16.61	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.88
	2.13	3.68	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.33)	3.67 ↓ (3.85)	5.04 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen
50.6%

Draw
28.6%

Eintracht Frankfurt
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

24.9%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

26.8%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bayer Leverkusen's performance.

Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eintracht Frankfurt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bayer Leverkusen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eintracht Frankfurt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.8%	16.9%	37.3%

Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 26 - 44.8%). Eintracht will win (votes: 22 - 37.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 17.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 32% – 57.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayer (votes: 8 - 32%). Eintracht (votes: 15 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Bayer (1.60) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bayer (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Eintracht (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayer (votes: 11 - 36.7%). Eintracht (votes: 17 - 56.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flekken M. (G) 5. Bade L. 4. Quansah J. 12. Tapsoba E. 21. Lucas 25. Palacios E. 8. Andrich R. (C) 20. Grimaldo A. 23. Tella N. 10. Tillman M. 14. Schick P.	23. Zetterer M. (G) 13. Kristensen R. 34. Collins N. 4. Koch R. 3. Theate A. 20. Doan R. 42. Uzun C. Y. 6. Hojlund O. 8. Chaibi F. 19. Bahoya J. 9. Burkardt J.
Substitutes
7. Ben Seghir E. 28. Blaswich J. (G) 9. Echeverri C. 6. Fernandez E. 24. Garcia A. 35. Kofane C. M. 30. Maza I. 19. Poku E. 16. Tape A.	30. Batshuayi M. 21. Brown N. 24. Buta 18. Dahoud M. 41. Doumbia F. 40. Kaua Santos (G) 7. Knauff A. 15. Skhiri E. 17. Wahi E.
Coaches
Hjulmand K.	Toppmoller D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Kristensen R. ↓, Brown N. ↑,
10', 1 - 0, Grimaldo A. ⚽,
15', Palacios E. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
19', Andrich R. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 0, Schick P. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 2 - 1, Uzun C. Y. ⚽,
58', Andrich R. 🟨,
62', Tillman M. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
71', Hojlund O. ↓, Batshuayi M. ↑,
78', Fernandez E. 🟨,
79', Uzun C. Y. 🟨,
82', Schick P. ↓, Tape A. ↑,
82', Tella N. ↓, Kofane C. M. ↑,
83', Bahoya J. ↓, Knauff A. ↑,
83', Burkardt J. ↓, Dahoud M. ↑,
83', Uzun C. Y. ↓, Wahi E. ↑,
90+2', Fernandez E. 🟨,
90+4', Lucas 🟨,
90+4', Wahi E. 🟨,
90+7', Theate A. 🟨,
90+8', 3 - 1, Grimaldo A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 5.

In recent matches, Bayer has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Eintracht is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Eintracht has had a series of away games.

Bayer might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Bayer: Belocian J. (Knee Injury) Hofmann J. (Hamstring Injury) Sarco A. (International duty)

There will not play in Eintracht: Gotze M. (Muscle Injury) Kaua Santos (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Bayer: Terrier M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 53:27. (average 2.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 37:6. (average 3.4:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
30.08.25	Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen	3:3 ✺
23.08.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
15.08.25	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Bayer Leverkusen	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.25	Chelsea - Bayer Leverkusen	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Pisa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLWLW
- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
30.08.25	Hoffenheim - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Werder Bremen	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.25	Engers - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Fulham - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Philadelphia Union - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
01.03.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen	1:4
19.10.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:1
05.05.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen	1:5
17.12.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:0
08.04.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:1
15.10.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen	5:1
02.05.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:0

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