Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 20

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)

Referee: Braun R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Hoffenheim		Union Berlin

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.8	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.7	4.15	Watch
	1.85	3.75	4.55
	1.82	3.74	4.37	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.2
	1.86	3.86	4.26	Watch
	1.84	3.6	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 (1.84)	3.71 ↓ (3.79)	4.29 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim
52%

Draw
25.8%

Union Berlin
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.1%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.7%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78%	14.6%	7.3%

Hoffenheim - Union Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 31 - 77.5%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 3 - 7.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 64.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Hoffenheim (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hoffenheim will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 16 - 84.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baumann O. (C) 34. Coufal V. 2. Hranac R. 5. Kabak O. 21. Hajdari A. 27. Kramaric A. 7. Avdullahu L. 6. Promel G. 19. Lemperle T. 11. Asllani F. 29. Toure B.	1. Ronnow F. (G) 5. Doekhi D. 14. Querfeld L. 4. Leite D. 19. Haberer J. 8. Khedira R. (C) 6. Kemlein A. 34. Nsoki S. 11. Jeong Woo-Yeong 7. Burke O. 23. Ilic A.
Substitutes
25. Akpoguma K. 9. Bebou I. 13. Bernardo 10. Damar M. 48. Djuric L. 15. Gendrey V. 33. Moerstedt M. 37. Philipp L. (G) 22. Prass A.	10. Ansah I. 9. Burcu L. 39. Kohn D. 33. Kral A. 17. Preu D. 31. Raab M. (G) 13. Schafer A. 21. Skarke T. 28. Trimmel C.
Coaches
Ilzer C.	Baumgart S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Hajdari A. 🟨,
21', Nsoki S. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Kramaric A. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 2 - 0, Kramaric A. ⚽, Toure B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lemperle T. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
47', 3 - 0, Leite D. (Own goal),
54', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Schafer A. ↑,
54', Nsoki S. ↓, Kohn D. ↑,
54', Burke O. ↓, Ansah I. ↑,
58', Ilic A. 🟨,
68', 3 - 1, Khedira R. ⚽,
75', Leite D. ↓, Burcu L. ↑,
78', Asllani F. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
83', Kramaric A. ↓, Prass A. ↑,
83', Kemlein A. ↓, Kral A. ↑,
85', Prass A. 🟨,
90+1', Toure B. ↓, Akpoguma K. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 2.

Hoffenheim is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Union Berlin has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hoffenheim is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Burger W. (Red Card) Campbell C. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Calf Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Union Berlin: Juranovic J. (Injury) Rothe T. (Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)

We predict that Hoffenheim will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.8:2).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Hoffenheim: 0.44% Union Berlin: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7:10	-3	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4:17	-13	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
27.01.26	Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Hoffenheim	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	1:0 ✺
14.01.26	Hoffenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Hoffenheim - Heerenveen	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWW?
- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
24.01.26	Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund	0:3 ✺
18.01.26	Stuttgart - Union Berlin	1:1 ✺
15.01.26	Augsburg - Union Berlin	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Union Berlin - Mainz	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Union Berlin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
13.09.25	Union Berlin - Hoffenheim	2:4
08.02.25	Hoffenheim - Union Berlin	0:4
21.09.24	Union Berlin - Hoffenheim	2:1
17.02.24	Hoffenheim - Union Berlin	0:1
23.09.23	Union Berlin - Hoffenheim	0:2
20.05.23	Hoffenheim - Union Berlin	4:2
21.01.23	Union Berlin - Hoffenheim	3:1

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