Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 1 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)

Referee: Menendez A. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
South-america	DGO Latin America
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	DSPORTS+ Plus
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	Boston River		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.8	2.9	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.3
	2.75	2.6	3.1	Watch
	2.8	2.78	3	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.3	Watch
	2.79	2.71	2.97	Watch
	2.75	2.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.13)	2.74 ↓ (3.01)	3.1 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 4

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Current Win Probability

Boston River
35.6%

Draw
34.2%

Guaraní Asuncion
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

31.1%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

32.8%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boston River's form might have worsened.

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guaraní Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boston River, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Boston River - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Boston River will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Antunez B. (G) 31. Acosta J. 23. Rivero M. 30. Gonzalez M. 22. Martinez F. 8. Vera M. 10. Amado A. 18. Viera G. 28. Gonzalez A. 11. Noguera F. 9. Anello A.	23. Servio G. (G) 37. Perez D. 24. Patino Martinez J. 14. Vargas G. 32. Cantero A. 36. Martinez L. 21. Pinatares B. 7. Manzur A. 10. Mendieta W. 27. Roman Torales F. J. 40. Fernandez F.
Substitutes
99. Adamo V. 70. Albarracin A. 14. Bortagaray G. 13. Campos N. 25. Chiappini F. 6. Dafonte F. 4. Gomez M. 33. Hernandez E. (G) 15. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 29. Perez G. 16. Silva A. 20. Suarez F.	29. Alfonso O. 11. Barrientos N. 2. Benitez Cabrera A. J. 4. Ibarrola W. 5. Lopez M. 20. Maidana A. 8. Maiz A. 6. Marecos G. 35. Pereira A. 12. Rodriguez M. (G) 15. Servin T. 17. Torales Richard
Coaches
Viera J.	Arce F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Viera G. (A),
39', Mendieta W. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
50', 2 - 0, Noguera F. ⚽, Vera M. (A),
53', Vera M. ↓, Dafonte F. ↑,
54', 2 - 1, Mendieta W. ⚽, Martinez L. (A),
56', Pinatares B. ↓, Torales Richard ↑,
60', 2 - 2, Fernandez F. ⚽, Mendieta W. (A),
69', Noguera F. ↓, Albarracin A. ↑,
69', Anello A. ↓, Adamo V. ↑,
72', 3 - 2, Albarracin A. ⚽, Martinez F. (A),
73', Perez D. ↓, Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↑,
76', Cantero A. 🟨,
84', Roman Torales F. J. ↓, Ibarrola W. ↑,
85', Cantero A. ↓, Maidana A. ↑,
85', Mendieta W. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
87', Gonzalez A. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
87', Viera G. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 3, Vargas G. ⚽, Manzur A. (A),
90+4', Albarracin A. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Guaraní could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Boston River will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.03.25	Boston River - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
26.03.25	Plaza Colonia - Boston River	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Boston River - Racing Montevideo	1:3 ✺
17.03.25	River Plate Montevideo - Boston River	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.03.25	Bahia - Boston River	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLWL
- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.03.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	1:3 ✺
23.03.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
14.03.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary	0:0 ✺
10.03.25	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.03.25	Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTLW

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