Match Info

URUGUAY: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 17 March 2025, Monday

Location: Parque Federico Omar Saroldi (Montevideo)


	River Plate Montevideo		Boston River

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.5
	2.55	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.67	3.37	2.6
	2.62	3.13	2.76	Watch
	2.62	2.9	2.7
	2.56	3.17	2.76	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.37)	3.15 ↓ (3.26)	2.69 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
36.1%

Draw
29.5%

Boston River
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

29.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

29.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Boston River has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	44.4%	33.3%

River Plate Montevideo - Boston River Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Boston River will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 7. Quintana J. 3. Ramos N. 13. Almeida C. (C) 29. Camejo L. 15. Jourdan E. 8. Estol M. 14. De Leon F. 10. Vera A. 11. De Los Santos J. 18. Lopez I.	1. Antunez B. (G) 31. Acosta J. 4. Gomez M. 14. Bortagaray G. 22. Martinez F. 32. Barcia B. 8. Vera M. (C) 26. Munoa F. 10. Amado A. 9. Anello A. 28. Gonzalez A.
Substitutes
22. Alfonso M. 17. Cachi M. 9. Correa T. 1. Frascarelli D. (G) 28. Gonzalez F. 30. Inverso L. 27. Lopez I. 26. Orono G. 2. Perez F. 23. Rodriguez F.	99. Adamo V. 25. Chiappini F. 30. Gonzalez M. 33. Hernandez E. (G) 21. Lopez G. 15. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 29. Perez G. 7. Rodriguez F. 16. Silva A. 18. Viera G.
Coaches
Lopez D.	Viera J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', Amado A. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Acosta J. ⚽, Gonzalez A. (A),
45+2', Estol M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jourdan E. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
46', Vera A. ↓, Correa T. ↑,
64', Barcia B. ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
64', Gonzalez A. ↓, Adamo V. ↑,
64', Vera M. 🟨,
64', Estol M. ↓, Cachi M. ↑,
65', De Los Santos J. ↓, Alfonso M. ↑,
72', Lopez I. 🟨,
78', Martinez F. ↓, O'Neill Lopez J. S. ↑,
81', Munoa F. ↓, Chiappini F. ↑,
81', Ramos N. 🟨,
83', Ramos N. 🟨,
88', 0 - 2, Anello A. ⚽, Adamo V. (A),
90', Anello A. ↓, Viera G. ↑,
90+1', Chiappini F. 🟨,
90+3', De Leon F. ↓, Inverso L. ↑,
90+9', Almeida C. 🟨,
90+9', Adamo V. (Pen),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 12 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches River Plate won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

River Plate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches River Plate won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:25 (average 1.2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.03.25	Nacional Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	3:3 ✺
23.02.25	River Plate Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Montevideo City Torque - River Plate Montevideo	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	River Plate Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	0:1 ✺
03.02.25	Cerro - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TTLLT
- Boston River
Copa Libertadores
13.03.25	Bahia - Boston River	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.03.25	Progreso - Boston River	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.03.25	Boston River - Bahia	0:0 ✺
26.02.25	Ñublense - Boston River	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.02.25	Boston River - Nacional Montevideo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
22.09.24	Boston River - River Plate Montevideo	3:1
09.03.24	River Plate Montevideo - Boston River	1:2
15.10.23	River Plate Montevideo - Boston River	2:1
04.06.23	River Plate Montevideo - Boston River	0:1
04.03.23	Boston River - River Plate Montevideo	0:0
Club Friendly
24.01.23	River Plate Montevideo - Boston River	0:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.08.22	Boston River - River Plate Montevideo	1:2

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