Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Parque Artigas (Las Piedras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Boston River		Racing Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.75	2.5	Watch
	2.78	3	2.52
	3.09	3.05	2.6
	2.87	3	2.62	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.5
	2.94	2.88	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.84)	2.93 ↓ (2.97)	2.56 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston River
32.2%

Draw
31.6%

Racing Montevideo
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

31%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

30.3%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Boston River - Racing Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Antunez B. (G) 2. Sotto K. 30. Gonzalez M. (C) 13. Fernandez I. 15. Vazquez L. 5. Barrios F. 14. Dafonte F. 16. Suhr L. 99. Reyna G. 22. Martinez F. 9. Gonzalez A.	12. Varese F. (G) 4. Cotugno G. (C) 2. Parada F. 13. Alvarez F. 29. Gonzalez F. 19. Dudok R. 5. Bosca J. 8. Cairus F. 37. Oyarzo Y. 16. Da Silva E. 18. Habib T.
Substitutes
10. Amado A. 8. Bonfiglio F. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 32. Gonzalez Y. 17. Haller R. 24. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 21. Perez F. 11. Ramirez G. 23. Rivero M. 6. Romero A.	40. Atum A. 15. Cheuquepal D. 14. De Los Santos E. 1. Machado F. (G) 81. Manzur I. 24. Perez J. 23. Sosa N. 11. Suarez F. 77. Tomatis B. 39. Vazquez A.
Coaches
Damonte I.	Chambian C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Parada F. ↓, Vazquez A. ↑,
32', Vazquez L. 🟨,
45+2', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vazquez L. ↓, Haller R. ↑,
61', Dafonte F. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
61', Fernandez I. ↓, Amado A. ↑,
61', Reyna G. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
67', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
68', 0 - 1, Cairus F. ⚽,
71', Gonzalez F. ↓, De Los Santos E. ↑,
71', Dudok R. ↓, Tomatis B. ↑,
75', Suhr L. ↓, Bonfiglio F. ↑,
77', Cotugno G. 🟨,
89', Oyarzo Y. ↓, Cheuquepal D. ↑,
89', Habib T. ↓, Sosa N. ↑,
90+2', Cheuquepal D. 🟨,
90+7', Varese F. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 1.

Boston River has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Racing is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Boston River may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Boston River won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Racing Montevideo	9	3	3	3	9:8	1	12
11	Boston River	10	3	3	4	13:13	0	12

Last Results with these Odds

Boston River - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.38%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Racing Montevideo - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.66%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.03.26	Boston River - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.26	Boston River - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
27.02.26	Cerro - Boston River	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Boston River - Albion Montevideo	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Danubio - Boston River	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTTL
- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.03.26	Racing Montevideo - Cerro	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.26	Boston River - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
28.02.26	Albion Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Racing Montevideo - Danubio	4:0 ✺
14.02.26	Nacional Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
05.03.26	Boston River - Racing Montevideo	1:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.09.25	Racing Montevideo - Boston River	0:0
Uruguay Copa
10.09.25	Racing Montevideo - Boston River	1:0 penalties
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.05.25	Racing Montevideo - Boston River	2:0
22.03.25	Boston River - Racing Montevideo	1:3
27.11.24	Boston River - Racing Montevideo	1:2
24.05.24	Racing Montevideo - Boston River	1:2

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