Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 3

Date: 1 June 2026, Monday

Location: Parque Artigas (Las Piedras)

Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Boston River		Liverpool Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.1
	3	3.1	2.3
	3.21	3.16	2.43
	3.14	3.14	2.34	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.3
	3.11	3.1	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.37)	3.11 ↑ (3.02)	2.3 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston River
29.9%

Draw
29.8%

Liverpool Montevideo
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

30.9%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

29.5%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston River has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Boston River - Liverpool Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Antunez B. (G) 31. Acosta J. 8. Bonfiglio F. 13. Fernandez I. 30. Gonzalez M. 32. Gonzalez Y. 17. Haller R. 20. Hornos M. 3. Mancebo M. 26. Munoa F. 16. Suhr L.	1. Bernatene M. (G) 16. Acosta L. 24. Amaro K. 31. Barcelo F. 23. Castillo E. 10. Degregorio R. M. 5. Garayalde N. 15. Laquidain S. 7. Martinez F. 27. Romero D. 3. Strasorier S.
Substitutes
25. Aguirre A. 10. Amado A. 14. Dafonte F. 9. Gonzalez A. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 29. Lima A. 24. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 11. Ramirez G. 99. Reyna G. 2. Sotto K.	26. Brizuela T. 12. Cabrera D. 18. Cayetano A. 34. Lewis K. 9. Machado R. 6. Milano S. 8. Mir M. 4. Perdomo F. 20. Rabunal M. 22. Zabala D.
Coaches
Ithurralde I.	Fossati J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Fernandez I. 🟨,
15', Martinez F. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Acosta L. ⚽,
29', Fernandez I. ↓, O'Neill Lopez J. S. ↑,
34', Haller R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Amaro K. ↓, Perdomo F. ↑,
46', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Amado A. ↑,
46', Hornos M. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
49', Mancebo M. 🟨,
55', Laquidain S. 🟨,
65', Acosta J. 🟨,
65', Degregorio R. M. 🟨,
66', Acosta L. ↓, Mir M. ↑,
73', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
74', Garayalde N. 🟨,
79', Romero D. ↓, Cayetano A. ↑,
79', Barcelo F. ↓, Machado R. ↑,
79', Acosta J. ↓, Dafonte F. ↑,
79', Bonfiglio F. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
87', Martinez F. ↓, Rabunal M. ↑,
90+3', Bernatene M. 🟨,
90+9', Machado R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Boston River may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Liverpool is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Boston River won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Boston River	9	2	3	4	10:12	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Liverpool Montevideo - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.34%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston River
Copa Sudamericana
26.05.26	São Paulo - Boston River	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.05.26	Cerro Largo - Boston River	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.05.26	Boston River - OHiggins	3:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.05.26	Boston River - Cerro	4:1 ✺
11.05.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Boston River	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWWL
- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.05.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Liverpool Montevideo	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Danubio	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
09.03.26	Boston River - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1
27.09.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Boston River	2:1
29.03.25	Boston River - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1
29.09.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Boston River	1:1
23.06.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Boston River	1:0
15.03.24	Boston River - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1
29.11.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Boston River	2:0

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