Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 15

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Boston United		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	4.75
	1.65	3.6	4.2
	1.7	3.75	4.5
	1.8	3.5	3.6
	1.69	3.83	4.74
	1.7	3.6	4.2
	1.66	3.82	4.6
	1.67	3.75	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.72)	3.7 (3.7)	4.36 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston United
54.2%

Draw
24.8%

Gloucester City
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

24.8%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

23.3%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Boston United - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 16 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boston United won 0.

Recent matches Boston United is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gloucester is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Boston United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Boston United is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Boston United won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Boston United won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston United
English National League North
24.10.23	Boston United - Banbury United	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Worksop Town - Boston United	3:2 ✺
English National League North
07.10.23	Curzon Ashton - Boston United	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Rushall Olympic - Boston United	0:1 ✺
English National League North
23.09.23	Boston United - Chester	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWW
- Gloucester City
English National League North
24.10.23	Tamworth - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
21.10.23	Gloucester City - Alfreton Town	3:0 ✺
14.10.23	Southport - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Gloucester City - Chorley	0:2 ✺
23.09.23	Darlington - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
07.01.23	Boston United - Gloucester City	2:2
13.08.22	Gloucester City - Boston United	2:0
02.05.22	Boston United - Gloucester City	1:1
08.01.22	Gloucester City - Boston United	0:0
01.12.20	Gloucester City - Boston United	0:0
24.08.19	Gloucester City - Boston United	3:0
17.04.17	Boston United - Gloucester City	2:2

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