Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Hereford		Gillingham

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.8	1.65
	5	4	1.63
	5	4	1.6
	5.15	4.01	1.65
	5.15	4.01	1.65
	5	3.9	1.57
	5.05	3.94	1.64	Watch
	5.2	3.85	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.13 ↓ (5.15)	3.94 ↓ (4.37)	1.63 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hereford
18.3%

Draw
23.9%

Gillingham
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

21.3%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

20.1%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Hereford - Gillingham Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hereford will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Gillingham will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pond C. 2. Skinner A. 21. Southern O. 27. Cameron N. 3. Livingstone A. 20. Mendes L. 4. Teixeira A. 8. Babos A. 28. Howkins K. 23. Freemantle E. 7. Ceesay Y.	25. Turner J. (G) 2. Alexander C. 4. Masterson C. 22. Ogie S. 13. Malone S. 23. Mahoney C. 11. Jefferies D. 8. Williams J. 18. Coleman E. 17. Clarke J. 45. Bonne M.
Substitutes
24. Arthur K. 9. Cowley J. 11. Cranston J. 22. Rooney A. 18. Stanley C. 12. Sterry S. 16. Tolley J.	3. Clark M. 38. Dieng T. 5. Ehmer M. 30. Macarthur M. 1. Morris G. (G) 9. Nichols T. 26. Orji I. 6. Williams S.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Hereford is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gillingham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Gillingham is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hereford FC
English National League North
28.10.23	Chorley - Hereford	1:2 ✺
24.10.23	Alfreton Town - Hereford	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Hereford - Curzon Ashton	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Hereford - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
English National League North
07.10.23	South Shields - Hereford	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WLWWT
- Gillingham FC
English League Two
28.10.23	Gillingham - Newport County	0:2 ✺
24.10.23	Swindon Town - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Gillingham - Notts County	1:2 ✺
14.10.23	Walsall - Gillingham	4:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Portsmouth - Gillingham	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
28.02.12	Gillingham - Hereford	N/A

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