Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 12

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Orlando Scarpelli (Florianópolis)

Referee: Henrique Meira Bispo G. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Figueirense		Athletic Club

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3	2.6
	2.5	3	2.7	Watch
	2.61	3.05	2.8
	2.58	3	2.73	Watch
	2.4	3	2.6
	2.5	3.04	2.65	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 (2.5)	3.03 ↓ (3.15)	2.68 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Figueirense
36.2%

Draw
29.9%

Athletic Club
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

28.8%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

28.2%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	66.7%	11.1%

Figueirense - Athletic Club Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Figueirense will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Athletic will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Ruan Carneiro (G) 10. Camilo 27. Genilson (C) 19. Guilherme Pato 31. Henrique Rodrigues 32. Jefinho 33. Jhony Douglas 21. Leo Baiano 2. Leonardo Maia 6. Samuel Toscas 15. Tiago Barbosa	1. Glauco (G) 5. Caldeira R. 3. Danilo Cardoso (C) 10. David Braga 9. Denilson 8. Djalma 4. Edson Miranda 14. Victor Sallinas 7. Welinton Torrao 2. Ynaia 6. Yuri
Substitutes
30. Bruno Michel 14. Cedric 29. Cristian Renato 20. Gledson 5. JP Iseppe 8. Matheus Farinha 9. Renan Bernabe 24. Ruan Levine 1. Thiago Goncalves (G) 4. Thomas Kayck 23. Tito 12. Vinicius Barreta (G)	20. Alason Carioca 16. Bruno Gomes 13. Douglas Pele 12. Jefferson Luis (G) 21. Lucas Mineiro 15. Marcelo Sousa 17. Nathan 19. Neto Costa 18. Rafael Conceicao 11. Villero P.
Coaches
Joao Burse	Roger Silva

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Camilo ↓, Bruno Michel ↑,
49', Guilherme Pato 🟨,
54', Edson Miranda 🟨,
68', Denilson ↓, Neto Costa ↑,
68', Welinton Torrao ↓, Villero P. ↑,
71', Edson Miranda 🟨,
75', Caldeira R. 🟨,
76', Leo Baiano ↓, Renan Bernabe ↑,
80', Samuel Toscas ↓, Tito ↑,
82', David Braga ↓, Alason Carioca ↑,
84', Jhony Douglas ↓, Ruan Levine ↑,
90+3', Caldeira R. ↓, Bruno Gomes ↑,
90+4', Ruan Levine 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Figueirense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
03.07.24	CS Alagoano - Figueirense	3:1 ✺
23.06.24	São Bernardo - Figueirense	1:2 ✺
16.06.24	Figueirense - Confiança	2:0 ✺
08.06.24	Figueirense - ABC	1:1 ✺
02.06.24	Caxias - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWTL
- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie C
04.07.24	EC São José Porto Alegre - Athletic Club	0:1 ✺
29.06.24	Athletic Club - São Bernardo	1:4 ✺
26.06.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Athletic Club	3:1 ✺
15.06.24	Athletic Club - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:1 ✺
09.06.24	Athletic Club - Volta Redonda	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWW

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