Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Benitez J. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Rede Globo, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Botafogo RJ		Estudiantes La Plata

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	4.33	Watch
	1.9	3.25	4.2
	1.9	3.3	4.3	Watch
	1.95	3.41	4.52
	1.88	3.41	4.42	Watch
	1.91	3.1	4	Watch
	1.9	3.42	4.46	Watch
	1.9	3.3	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.95)	3.32 ↑ (3.29)	4.32 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ
49.6%

Draw
28.5%

Estudiantes La Plata
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

28.7%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

28.9%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Botafogo RJ - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Estudiantes (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Botafogo RJ will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 3 - 75%). Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. John Victor (G) 2. Vitinho 32. Jair 57. David Ricardo 13. Alex Telles 7. Artur 17. Marlon Freitas 26. Gregore 66. Cuiabano 99. Igor Jesus 9. Rwan Cruz	12. Mansilla M. (G) 20. Meza E. 14. Boselli S. 6. Nunez S. 2. Rodriguez F. 15. Arzamendia S. 10. Palacios T. 5. Ascacibar S. (C) 8. Gabriel Neves 7. Sosa J. 27. Alario L.
Substitutes
25. Allan 5. Danilo Barbosa 33. Elias Manoel 47. Jeffinho 77. Kauan Lindes 24. Leo Linck (G) 21. Marcal 16. Nathan Fernandes 28. Newton 6. Patrick de Paula 4. Ponte M. 23. Rodriguez S.	13. Benedetti G. 17. Burgos J. 18. Cetre E. 11. Farias F. 26. Funes Mori R. 23. Gimenez L. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 24. Kociubinski B. 19. Manyoma A. 16. Mendez M. 29. Perez Fabricio 21. Piovi L.
Coaches
Alves R.	Dominguez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Rwan Cruz ⚽, Artur (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 2 - 0, Igor Jesus ⚽, Alex Telles (A),
59', Gabriel Neves ↓, Piovi L. ↑,
59', Alario L. ↓, Gimenez L. ↑,
59', Sosa J. ↓, Farias F. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Palacios T. (Pen),
65', Arzamendia S. 🟨,
75', Rwan Cruz ↓, Nathan Fernandes ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Palacios T. ⚽,
79', Boselli S. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
83', Alex Telles ↓, Jeffinho ↑,
83', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
85', 3 - 2, Artur ⚽, Marlon Freitas (A),
89', Marlon Freitas ↓, Allan ↑,
89', Artur ↓, Danilo Barbosa ↑,
90', Arzamendia S. ↓, Burgos J. ↑,
90', Cuiabano 🟨,
90+3', Meza E. 🟨,

Preview

Botafogo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Estudiantes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Botafogo is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Botafogo: Barboza A. (Inactive) Bastos (Knee Injury) Gonzalo Mastriani (Inactive) Matheus Martins (Hamstring Injury) Savarino J. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Estudiantes: Medina C. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Estudiantes: Castro A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Botafogo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
11.05.25	Botafogo RJ - Internacional RS	4:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.25	Carabobo - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.05.25	Bahia - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.04.25	Botafogo RJ - Capital CF Ltda	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.04.25	Botafogo RJ - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW
- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.05.25	Rosario Central - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.25	Universidad de Chile - Estudiantes La Plata	0:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.25	Argentinos Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	4:0 ✺
28.04.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Tigre	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.04.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
23.04.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Botafogo RJ	1:0
25.05.17	Estudiantes La Plata - Botafogo RJ	1:0
14.03.17	Botafogo RJ - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1

Upcoming Matches