Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata)

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Georgia	Silk Universal
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Canal+
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+


	Estudiantes La Plata		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.6
	2.25	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.27	3.14	3.57
	2.19	3.17	3.62	Watch
	2.1	3	3.5	Watch
	2.18	3.29	3.59	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.16)	3.13 ↓ (3.13)	3.52 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata
43%

Draw
30.2%

Botafogo RJ
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

30.1%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

30.6%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Estudiantes La Plata - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Botafogo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 50%). Botafogo (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mansilla M. (G) 20. Meza E. 6. Nunez S. 2. Rodriguez F. 15. Arzamendia S. 5. Ascacibar S. 8. Gabriel Neves 25. Medina C. 10. Palacios T. 17. Burgos T. 9. Carrillo G.	12. John Victor (G) 4. Ponte M. 5. Danilo Barbosa 20. Barboza A. 13. Alex Telles 26. Gregore 17. Marlon Freitas 7. Artur 6. Patrick de Paula 10. Savarino J. 99. Igor Jesus
Substitutes
27. Alario L. 13. Benedetti G. 14. Boselli S. 18. Cetre E. 11. Farias F. 26. Funes Mori R. 23. Gimenez L. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 24. Kociubinski B. 19. Manyoma A. 16. Mendez M. 7. Sosa J.	25. Allan 66. Cuiabano 57. David Ricardo 33. Elias Manoel 39. Gonzalo Mastriani 47. Jeffinho 77. Kauan Lindes 24. Leo Linck (G) 11. Matheus Martins 28. Newton 9. Rwan Cruz 2. Vitinho
Coaches
Dominguez E.	Alves R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Medina C. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Carrillo G. ⚽,
44', Ascacibar S. ↓, Kociubinski B. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Patrick de Paula ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
59', Meza E. 🟨,
61', Carrillo G. 🟨,
71', Nunez S. 🟨,
72', Ponte M. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
72', Artur ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
75', Burgos T. ↓, Benedetti G. ↑,
85', Medina C. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
85', Palacios T. ↓, Manyoma A. ↑,
85', Carrillo G. ↓, Gimenez L. ↑,
88', Savarino J. ↓, Gonzalo Mastriani ↑,
89', Marlon Freitas ↓, Allan ↑,

Preview

Estudiantes is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Botafogo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estudiantes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Estudiantes will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Estudiantes: Burgos J. (Thigh Injury) Castro A. (Muscle Injury) Piovi L. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos (Knee Injury) Marcal (Lacking Match Fitness) Nathan Fernandes (Thigh Injury) Rodriguez S. (Inactive)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Estudiantes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Estudiantes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.04.25	Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Universidad de Chile	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.04.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.04.25	Carabobo - Estudiantes La Plata	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLLW
- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
20.04.25	Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
16.04.25	Botafogo RJ - São Paulo	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.25	Botafogo RJ - Carabobo	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.25	Botafogo RJ - Juventude	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
25.05.17	Estudiantes La Plata - Botafogo RJ	1:0
14.03.17	Botafogo RJ - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1

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