Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos (Santiago de Chile) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Argentina	21:00	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	10:00	beIN Connect
Brazil	21:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	20:00	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Colombia	19:00	Disney+, ESPN
Georgia	04:00	Silk Universal
Indonesia	07:00	Mola TV
Israel	03:00	Sport 1
Italy	02:00	Como TV
Mexico	18:00	Disney+
Peru	19:00	Disney+, ESPN
Russia	03:00	Okko Sport
South America	—	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Turkey	03:00	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Uruguay	21:00	Disney+
Usa	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
Venezuela	20:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Universidad de Chile		Estudiantes La Plata

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.88	2.8	Watch
	2.35	3	3.2
	2.78	2.78	2.88	Watch
	2.9	2.83	2.95
	2.8	2.82	2.95	Watch
	2.38	2.9	3.1	Watch
	2.66	2.91	3.01	Watch
	2.78	2.78	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.36)	2.86 ↓ (3.08)	2.97 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad de Chile
35.2%

Draw
33%

Estudiantes La Plata
31.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30.7%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

30.4%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad de Chile, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	33.3%	13.3%

Universidad de Chile - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Universidad de Chile: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Estudiantes (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Estudiantes La Plata will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Castellon G. (G) 5. Ramirez N. 2. Calderon F. 22. Zaldivia M. 17. Hormazabal F. 21. Diaz M. (C) 30. Montes G. 16. Sepulveda M. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 18. Di Yorio L. 11. Guerra N.	12. Mansilla M. (G) 20. Meza E. 14. Boselli S. 2. Rodriguez F. 6. Nunez S. 15. Arzamendia S. 25. Medina C. 5. Ascacibar S. (C) 8. Gabriel Neves 10. Palacios T. 9. Carrillo G.
Substitutes
19. Altamirano J. 10. Assadi L. 4. Castro J. 27. Contreras R. 24. Diaz A. 9. Fernandez L. 6. Fernandez N. 26. Formiliano F. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 34. Moya F. 3. Tapia I. 1. Toselli C. (G)	27. Alario L. 13. Benedetti G. 17. Burgos J. 18. Cetre E. 11. Farias F. 26. Funes Mori R. 23. Gimenez L. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 19. Manyoma A. 16. Mendez M. 21. Piovi L. 7. Sosa J.
Coaches
Alvarez G.	Dominguez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
22', 0 - 1, Palacios T. ⚽, Carrillo G. (A),
31', 0 - 2, Ascacibar S. ⚽, Gabriel Neves (A),
37', Palacios T. 🟨,
39', 0 - 3, Carrillo G. ⚽, Meza E. (A),
40', Sepulveda M. 🟨,
43', Arzamendia S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ramirez N. ↓, Guerrero Pena M. G. ↑,
46', Guerra N. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
46', Montes G. ↓, Altamirano J. ↑,
46', Di Yorio L. ↓, Contreras R. ↑,
53', Medina C. 🟨,
60', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
66', Palacios T. ↓, Burgos J. ↑,
74', Carrillo G. ↓, Gimenez L. ↑,
76', Calderon F. 🟨,
82', Medina C. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
83', Arzamendia S. ↓, Benedetti G. ↑,
83', Meza E. ↓, Piovi L. ↑,
85', Burgos J. 🟨,

Preview

Universidad de Chile is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Estudiantes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Universidad de Chile may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Estudiantes: Ascacibar S. (Muscle Injury) Castro A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Universidad de Chile won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera Division
03.05.25	Universidad de Chile - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Palestino - Universidad de Chile	2:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.04.25	Carabobo - Universidad de Chile	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
17.04.25	Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Universidad de Chile	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWTWW
- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.25	Argentinos Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	4:0 ✺
28.04.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Tigre	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.04.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.04.25	Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
08.04.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Universidad de Chile	1:2

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