Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 28 April 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata)

Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN Premium
China	K-Ball
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz


	Estudiantes La Plata		Tigre

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	4.2	Watch
	1.93	3.1	4.33
	1.95	3.2	4.15	Watch
	2.08	3.1	4.3
	2.03	3.14	4.07	Watch
	1.95	3.1	4
	2.06	3.08	4.13	Watch
	1.95	3.2	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.24)	3.12 ↓ (3.18)	4.17 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata
47.1%

Draw
30.3%

Tigre
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

29.8%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

29.7%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Tigre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tigre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tigre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Estudiantes La Plata - Tigre Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tigre will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigre (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mansilla M. (G) 20. Meza E. 6. Nunez S. 2. Rodriguez F. 13. Benedetti G. 24. Kociubinski B. 8. Gabriel Neves 10. Palacios T. 11. Farias F. 17. Burgos T. 27. Alario L.	12. Zenobio F. T. (G) 4. Ortega M. 2. Laso J. 30. Paz N. 3. Banegas N. 47. Saralegui J. 16. Scipioni L. 27. Gonzalez S. 21. Medina S. 18. Armoa B. 29. Russo I.
Substitutes
14. Boselli S. 9. Carrillo G. 18. Cetre E. 26. Funes Mori R. 23. Gimenez L. 4. Gomez R. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 19. Manyoma A. 16. Mendez M. 36. Pereyra J. 29. Perez Fabricio 7. Sosa J.	5. Arias R. 33. Cabrera E. 20. Fertoli H. 22. Lopez J. 25. Moreno V. 19. Oviedo A. 23. Pineiro G. 7. Ramirez E. 11. Sarmiento D. 24. Sosa A. (G) 6. Sosa D. 31. Tevez F.
Coaches
Dominguez E.	Dabove D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Nunez S. 🟨,
24', Russo I. 🟨,
42', Banegas N. ↓, Sosa D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Russo I. ↓, Oviedo A. ↑,
59', Armoa B. ↓, Fertoli H. ↑,
59', Kociubinski B. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
59', Farias F. ↓, Carrillo G. ↑,
72', Alario L. ↓, Gimenez L. ↑,
72', Burgos T. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
77', Gonzalez S. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
77', Saralegui J. ↓, Arias R. ↑,
83', Meza E. ↓, Manyoma A. ↑,

Preview

Tigre is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Estudiantes won 2.

Estudiantes is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tigre is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tigre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Estudiantes is a favorite.

There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Yellow Cards) Castro A. (Muscle Injury) Piovi L. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Tigre: Besozzi L. (Inactive) Garay M. (Knee Injury) Protti I. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Estudiantes: Burgos J. (Thigh Injury) Burgos T. (Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Estudiantes won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 18:21 (average 1.1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Estudiantes won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.6:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata
Copa Libertadores
23.04.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.04.25	Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Universidad de Chile	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.04.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLTLL
- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.04.25	Tigre - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Barracas Central - Tigre	1:0 ✺
07.04.25	Tigre - Newells Old Boys	0:2 ✺
28.03.25	Defensa y Justicia - Tigre	1:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
22.03.25	Tigre - Berazategui	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.05.24	Tigre - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.02.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Tigre	2:0
15.09.23	Tigre - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.01.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Tigre	1:2
17.07.22	Tigre - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
19.04.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Tigre	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.10.18	Tigre - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0

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