Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Premiere, SporTV


	Botafogo RJ		Capital CF Ltda

	1	X	2
	1.14	7	21
	1.15	6.75	14
	1.16	6.8	17
	1.15	6.4	28.54
	1.18	5.73	22.32	Watch
	1.17	5.8	26
	1.16	7.08	20
	1.16	6.8	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↑ (1.08)	6.55 ↓ (9.03)	20.73 ↓ (26.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ
81.1%

Draw
14.4%

Capital CF Ltda
4.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.2%

10.3%

3.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo RJ's form might have worsened.

Capital CF Ltda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	33.3%	25%

Botafogo RJ - Capital CF Ltda Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Capital will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Botafogo (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Leo Linck (G) 4. Ponte M. 5. Danilo Barbosa 20. Barboza A. 13. Alex Telles (C) 26. Gregore 25. Allan 7. Artur 39. Gonzalo Mastriani 9. Rwan Cruz 47. Jeffinho	1. Reynaldo (G) 2. Lucas Oliveira 3. Richardson 4. Pedro Romano 6. Mattheus Silva 5. Felipe Guedes 8. Rodriguinho 11. Erick Varao 10. Matheus Anjos 7. Lenon 9. Mateusao
Substitutes
66. Cuiabano 57. David Ricardo 33. Elias Manoel 99. Igor Jesus 32. Jair 77. Kauan Lindes 17. Marlon Freitas 28. Newton 6. Patrick de Paula 1. Raul Steffens (G) 10. Savarino J. 2. Vitinho	95. Alexander (G) 19. Falcao 20. Jo 15. Maycon Lucas 18. Michael Quarcoo 16. Renan Luis 21. Rikelmi 17. Romarinho 22. Vinicius Baracioli
Coaches
Alves R.	Fernandes R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Alex Telles (Pen),
34', Barboza A. ↓, David Ricardo ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Lenon ↓, Vinicius Baracioli ↑,
46', Rodriguinho ↓, Rikelmi ↑,
46', Mateusao ↓, Michael Quarcoo ↑,
49', Gregore 🟨,
65', Jeffinho ↓, Savarino J. ↑,
65', Gonzalo Mastriani ↓, Igor Jesus ↑,
66', Allan ↓, Patrick de Paula ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Igor Jesus (Pen),
75', Pedro Romano ↓, Maycon Lucas ↑,
76', Alex Telles ↓, Cuiabano ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Artur ⚽, Cuiabano (A),
85', Matheus Anjos ↓, Falcao ↑,
90', 4 - 0, Rwan Cruz ⚽,
90+3', Erick Varao 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Botafogo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Capital is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games, wins - 2).

Botafogo could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

In this match, Botafogo is the indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
26.04.25	Botafogo RJ - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.04.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
20.04.25	Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
16.04.25	Botafogo RJ - São Paulo	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLTL
- Capital CF Ltda
Brazilian Serie D
26.04.25	Porto Velho - Capital CF Ltda	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Capital CF Ltda - Aparecidense	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
29.03.25	Capital CF Ltda - Gama	1:2 penalties ✺
22.03.25	Capital CF Ltda - Ceilândia	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Ceilândia - Capital CF Ltda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWT

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