Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 30 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Gobernador Julio A. Costa)

Referee: Ospina J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV


	Defensa y Justicia		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.4	2.85	3.35
	2.42	3.14	3.35
	2.4	3	2.88
	2.35	3.2	3.13	Watch
	2.4	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.48)	3.05 ↑ (3.04)	3.19 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS En Espa√±ol (Canada)

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia
39.4%

Draw
31%

Botafogo RJ
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

30.5%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

29.9%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	43.7%	25%

Defensa y Justicia - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Botafogo will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Bologna E. (G) 32. Sant'Anna A. 2. Malatini J. 25. Cardona T. 3. Soto A. 4. Tripichio N. 5. Gutierrez K. 19. Barbona D. 8. Lopez J. 11. Togni G. 29. Fernandez N.	1. Gatito Fernandez (G) 24. Di Placido L. 94. Philipe Sampaio 15. Victor Cuesta 21. Marcal (C) 5. Danilo 17. Marlon Freitas 6. Tche Tche 18. Lucas Fernandes 11. Luis Henrique 19. Costa D.
Substitutes
17. Alanis G. 10. Bogarin R. 26. Caceres D. 7. Duarte M. 15. Escalante L. T. 22. Fiermarin C. (G) 6. Gissi D. 18. Pratto L. 21. Ramos S. 9. Rios A. 35. Schamine F. 27. Solari S.	34. Adryelson 27. Carlos Alberto 43. David 14. Gabriel Pires 54. Hernandez D. 16. Hugo 39. Janderson 37. Junior Santos 12. Lucas Perri (G) 90. Matheus Nascimento 4. Ponte M. 20. Segovia M.
Coaches
Vaccari J.	Lage B.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Recent matches Defensa y Justicia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Botafogo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Botafogo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Defensa y Justicia have a series of guest games.

Defensa y Justicia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensa y Justicia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
27.08.23	Platense - Defensa y Justicia	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.08.23	Botafogo RJ - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
08.08.23	Defensa y Justicia - Emelec	1:0 ✺
01.08.23	Emelec - Defensa y Justicia	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.07.23	Unión Santa Fe - Defensa y Justicia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTWWL
- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
27.08.23	Botafogo RJ - Bahia	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.08.23	Botafogo RJ - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.08.23	São Paulo - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
12.08.23	Botafogo RJ - Internacional RS	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.08.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
23.08.23	Botafogo RJ - Defensa y Justicia	1:1
20.02.19	Defensa y Justicia - Botafogo RJ	0:3
06.02.19	Botafogo RJ - Defensa y Justicia	1:0

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