Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 21

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Zanovelli P. C. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Corinthians		Goiás

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.75	Watch
	1.94	3.2	4.5
	2.1	3.17	4.23
	2.06	3.15	3.92	Watch
	2.06	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.77)	3.17 ↓ (3.54)	4.04 ↓ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians
46.5%

Draw
29.9%

Goiás
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

26.5%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

26.3%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthians's form might have worsened.

Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Corinthians - Goiás Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Goiás will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 60.7% – 93.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cassio (C) 13. Leo Mana 3. Lucas Verissimo 14. Caetano 21. Matheus Bidu 44. Moscardo G. 20. Giuliano 33. Ruan O. 36. Wesley 9. Yuri Alberto 11. Angel Romero	23. Tadeu (C) 2. Maguinho 3. Lucas Halter 19. Bruno Melo 66. Hugo 12. Willian Oliveira 40. Everton Morelli 60. Guilherme 70. Anderson Oliveira 45. Joao Magno 77. Allano
Substitutes
26. Biro 25. Bruno Mendez 4. Carlos G. d. N. S. 22. Carlos Miguel (G) 6. Fabio Santos 5. Fausto Vera 41. Felipe Augusto 19. Gustavo Mosquito 7. Maycon 34. Murillo 8. Renato Augusto 10. Rojas M.	27. Alesson 22. Apodi 13. Bruno Santos 43. Edu 29. Ezequiel Oliveira (G) 5. Guzzo R. 55. Luis Oyama 9. Matheus Babi 8. Meritao H. 10. Palacios J. 95. Rodrigues Adelino dos Santos V. 7. Vinicius
Coaches
Luxemburgo V.	Evangelista A.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Goiás could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Corinthians is a favorite.

There will not play in Corinthians: Leo Natel (Broken Leg)

There are questionable in Corinthians: Paulinho (Knee Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Corinthians won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians
Copa Sudamericana
22.08.23	Corinthians - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.08.23	Cruzeiro - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
16.08.23	São Paulo - Corinthians	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
13.08.23	Corinthians - Coritiba	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.08.23	Newells Old Boys - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTLWT
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie A
21.08.23	Goiás - Athletico Paranaense	1:1 ✺
13.08.23	América Mineiro - Goiás	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.08.23	Goiás - Estudiantes La Plata	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.08.23	Goiás - Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.08.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Goiás	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
23.04.23	Goiás - Corinthians	3:1
29.10.22	Goiás - Corinthians	0:0
19.06.22	Corinthians - Goiás	1:0
21.12.20	Corinthians - Goiás	2:1
02.09.20	Goiás - Corinthians	1:2
16.10.19	Goiás - Corinthians	2:2
07.08.19	Corinthians - Goiás	2:0

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