Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 36

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Colombia	Win Sports
Mexico	Fanatiz
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TV Globo Internacional


	Corinthians		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.7	Watch
	2.08	3.2	3.55
	2.16	3.29	3.87
	2.45	3.08	3.07	Watch
	2.2	3.36	3.59	Watch
	2.12	3.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.43)	3.24 ↑ (3)	3.59 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians
43.9%

Draw
29.5%

Botafogo RJ
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

31.4%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

33.1%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Corinthians's performance.

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Corinthians - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Botafogo will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 40% – 93.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Corinthians (4.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Corinthians (4.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Corinthians will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hugo Souza (G) 2. Matheuzinho 47. Joao Pedro 13. Gustavo Henrique 21. Matheus Bidu 14. Raniele 27. Breno Bidon 8. Garro R. (C) 19. Carrillo A. 61. Dieguinho 9. Yuri Alberto	24. Leo Linck (G) 2. Ponte M. 21. Marcal 57. David Ricardo 6. Cuiabano 17. Marlon Freitas (C) 28. Newton 10. Savarino J. 7. Artur 37. Barria K. 30. Correa J.
Substitutes
49. Andre 5. Andre Ramalho 11. Angel Romero 26. Angileri F. 25. Caca 35. Charles Rigon 40. Felipe Longo (G) 56. Gui Negao 46. Hugo 7. Maycon 43. Talles Magno 29. Vitinho	13. Alex Telles 25. Allan 98. Arthur Cabral 14. Barrera J. 58. Caua Zappelini 26. Gabriel Bahia 39. Gonzalo Mastriani 47. Jeffinho 64. Marquinhos 8. Montoro A. 1. Raul Steffens (G) 23. Rodriguez S.
Coaches
Dorival Junior	Ancelotti D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Raniele ⚽, Dieguinho (A),
32', Savarino J. ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
33', Ponte M. 🟨,
41', Newton 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Newton ↓, Allan ↑,
46', Correa J. ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
56', Raniele 🟨,
57', Barria K. ↓, Arthur Cabral ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Cuiabano ⚽, Montoro A. (A),
62', Carrillo A. ↓, Maycon ↑,
62', Breno Bidon ↓, Andre ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Barrera J. ⚽,
70', Montoro A. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
74', Garro R. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
75', Dieguinho ↓, Gui Negao ↑,
75', Matheus Bidu ↓, Angileri F. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Gustavo Henrique ⚽, Vitinho (A),
86', Allan 🟨,
90', Matheuzinho 🟨,
90+3', Jeffinho 🟥,
90+5', Maycon 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 1.

Corinthians has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Botafogo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Botafogo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Corinthians is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Corinthians: Depay M. (Inactive) Hugo Souza (Leg Injury) Martinez J. (Red Card) Matheus Bidu (Inactive) Maycon (Inactive)

There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos (Knee Injury) Kaio (Knee Injury) Matheus Martins (Muscle Injury) Nathan Fernandes (Thigh Injury) Neto (Thigh Injury) Ramos C. (Injury) Rodriguez S. (Muscle Injury) Vitinho (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Botafogo: Danilo (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
23.11.25	Cruzeiro - Corinthians	3:0 ✺
20.11.25	Corinthians - São Paulo	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Corinthians - Ceará	0:1 ✺
05.11.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Corinthians - Grêmio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLW
- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
22.11.25	Botafogo RJ - Grêmio	3:2 ✺
18.11.25	Botafogo RJ - Sport Recife	3:2 ✺
09.11.25	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
05.11.25	Botafogo RJ - Vasco da Gama	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Mirassol - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
26.07.25	Botafogo RJ - Corinthians	1:1
14.09.24	Botafogo RJ - Corinthians	2:1
01.06.24	Corinthians - Botafogo RJ	0:1
22.09.23	Corinthians - Botafogo RJ	1:0
11.05.23	Botafogo RJ - Corinthians	3:0
30.07.22	Corinthians - Botafogo RJ	1:0
10.04.22	Botafogo RJ - Corinthians	1:3

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