Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico de la UCV (Caracas)

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Colombia	ESPN 2
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN 2, Inter


	Caracas		Racing

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.9	1.55	Watch
	5.75	3.8	1.57
	5.4	3.55	1.65	Watch
	5.97	3.89	1.61
	5.84	3.41	1.65	Watch
	5.75	3.6	1.57
	5.25	3.62	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.78 ↑ (4.28)	3.68 ↑ (3.42)	1.61 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Caracas
16.2%

Draw
25.5%

Racing
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

27.2%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

25.9%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caracas's form might have worsened.

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caracas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	4.8%	95.2%

Caracas - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: Racing will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Racing will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Benitez F. (G) 2. Fereira Penaranda E. E. 4. Quintero J. 19. Mago L. (C) 13. Yendis J. 15. Larotonda C. 8. Gudino I. 10. Covea M. 33. Correa W. 37. Vegas C. 9. Fernandez A.	25. Cambeses F. (G) 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 23. Colombo N. 6. Rojo M. 27. Rojas G. 36. Zuculini B. (C) 8. Forneris A. 20. Rodriguez B. 28. Solari S. 58. Perez T. 17. Conechny T.
Substitutes
22. Figueroa A. 27. Gonzalez S. 30. Herrera A. 35. Lezama R. 20. Maestre Nino L. A. 11. Marquez M. 34. Martinez Aponte C. A. 3. Pagano L. 43. Palma R. 7. Robert Hernandez 12. Vegas J. (G) 5. Vegas M.	4. Cannavo E. 3. Di Cesare M. 24. Fernandez A. 2. Garcia A. 10. Miljevic M. 18. Pardo F. 14. Pizarro D. 19. Rodriguez I. 44. Sosa G. 30. Tagliamonte M. (G) 7. Vergara D. 11. Zaracho M.
Coaches
Aristeguieta F.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Rojas G. (Penalty Awarded),
29', Correa W. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Perez T. ⚽, Rodriguez B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vegas C. ↓, Robert Hernandez ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Yendis J. ⚽, Mago L. (A),
63', Rojas G. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
63', Conechny T. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
70', Solari S. ↓, Zaracho M. ↑,
70', Rodriguez B. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
70', Fernandez A. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
78', Gudino I. 🟨,
78', Gudino I. ↓, Lezama R. ↑,
80', Forneris A. ↓, Pizarro D. ↑,
85', Correa W. ↓, Vegas M. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Racing is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caracas FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
25.04.26	Caracas - Rayo Zuliano	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Zamora - Caracas	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.04.26	Caracas - Independiente Petroleros	1:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
12.04.26	Caracas - Academia Anzoátegui	1:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Caracas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTWLT
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.04.26	Racing - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Aldosivi - Racing	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.04.26	Racing - Botafogo RJ	2:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.04.26	Racing - River Plate	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.26	Independiente Petroleros - Racing	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TTLLW

Upcoming Matches